Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfeb5…a393
crypto · 345 markets active 46d ago
0.0score
+$48,663 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$48,561 · open +$102
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29,883
Realized+$48,561
Unrealized+$102
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses218 / 106
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Open positions21
Markets (closed)324 / 345
History coverage258d
Avg bet$2,399
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 21 History 324 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No 62¢ 86¢ $6,293 $8,800 +$2,507 (+40%)
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? No 80¢ 95¢ $4,853 $5,741 +$888 (+18%)
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No 56¢ 54¢ $3,894 $3,732 −$163 (-4%)
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? No 50¢ 65¢ $2,867 $3,721 +$855 (+30%)
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 80¢ 86¢ $2,088 $2,222 +$134 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 31¢ 30¢ $1,470 $1,386 −$83 (-6%)
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No 47¢ 89¢ $725 $1,386 +$660 (+91%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No 72¢ 16¢ $5,049 $1,163 −$3,886 (-77%)
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? No 36¢ 37¢ $466 $476 +$10 (+2%)
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? No 19¢ 18¢ $440 $417 −$23 (-5%)
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No 30¢ 15¢ $644 $314 −$330 (-51%)
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? No 63¢ 93¢ $146 $215 +$69 (+48%)
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? No 54¢ 90¢ $104 $172 +$68 (+66%)
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? No 56¢ 90¢ $41 $67 +$25 (+61%)
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? No 69¢ 94¢ $19 $26 +$7 (+37%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 15¢ 86¢ $3 $16 +$14 (+481%)
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? No 34¢ 90¢ $5 $14 +$9 (+166%)
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No 20¢ 90¢ $2 $9 +$7 (+350%)
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? No 47¢ 88¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+88%)
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? No 70¢ 93¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+33%)
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes 50¢ 11¢ $7 $1 −$5 (-78%)
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? No 37¢ 90¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+145%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will XRP reach $2.60 in April? May 01 $92 +$5 +5%
Will Solana reach $120 in April? May 01 $748 +$189 +25%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? May 01 $759 −$759 -100%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April? May 01 $1,118 +$71 +6%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? May 01 $1,840 +$160 +9%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? May 01 $8,019 −$8,019 -100%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in April? Apr 20 $1,848 +$1,142 +62%
Will XRP reach $1.40 in April? Apr 17 $5 +$1 +28%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April? Apr 17 $0 $0 +20%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? Apr 01 $0 +$1 +426%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? Apr 01 $9 +$10 +113%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? Apr 01 $81 +$75 +92%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? Apr 01 $431 +$879 +204%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? Mar 30 $772 +$230 +30%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? Mar 17 $1,838 +$833 +45%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? Mar 13 $13,834 +$3,718 +27%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March? Mar 02 $266 −$48 -18%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February? Mar 01 $924 +$76 +8%
Will Solana reach $120 in February? Mar 01 $1,705 +$301 +18%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? Mar 01 $2,826 +$175 +6%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in February? Mar 01 $3,016 +$283 +9%
Will Solana dip to $60 in February? Mar 01 $3,094 +$713 +23%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February? Mar 01 $3,971 +$1,306 +33%
Will Solana dip to $50 in February? Mar 01 $4,860 +$573 +12%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February? Mar 01 $2,862 +$2,754 +96%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February? Mar 01 $9,231 +$769 +8%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? Mar 01 $24,828 +$4,399 +18%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? Feb 27 $2,347 +$150 +6%
Will Solana dip to $40 in February? Feb 27 $3,695 +$254 +7%
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in February? Feb 27 $2,085 +$120 +6%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February? Feb 25 $940 +$58 +6%
Will Solana dip to $90 in February? Feb 08 $249 −$249 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February? Feb 08 $16,800 −$14,963 -89%
Will Solana dip to $70 in February? Feb 08 $4,655 −$4,655 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Feb 06 $360 −$230 -64%
Will Solana dip to $80 in February? Feb 06 $1,560 −$1,560 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in February? Feb 06 $205 −$205 -100%
Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? Feb 06 $1,915 −$1,892 -99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February? Feb 06 $2,657 +$928 +35%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February? Feb 05 $78 −$78 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Feb 05 $538 −$538 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.40 by December 31, 2026? Feb 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in February? Feb 05 $83 +$11 +14%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? Feb 05 $1,419 +$213 +15%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in February? Feb 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Solana dip to $100 in February? Feb 02 $608 −$361 -59%
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in February? Feb 02 $213 −$213 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? Feb 02 $798 +$202 +25%
Will Solana reach $150 in January? Feb 01 $2,250 −$2,250 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? Feb 01 $4,386 −$4,386 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$48,663
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 44¢ $7 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 46¢ $31 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 46¢ $46 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 50¢ $32 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 50¢ $4 46d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 46d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April? BUY No 94¢ $926 47d
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 47¢ $2 47d
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? BUY No 92¢ $916 48d
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? BUY No 92¢ $924 48d
Will XRP reach $2.60 in April? BUY No 95¢ $92 49d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 58¢ $4 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 58¢ $21 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 58¢ $4 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 58¢ $30 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 58¢ $55 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 58¢ $6 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 59¢ $1,475 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 59¢ $2,327 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 59¢ $12 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 59¢ $15 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 59¢ $6 50d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? BUY Yes 60¢ $600 50d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 15 +57.7% +42.7% 87% 67% -36.2%
all 324 +18.7% +7.4% 67% 49% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.4% 49% -4.0%
10% ← realistic here -2.9% 35% -13.2%
15% -12.2% 26% -21.6%
20% -20.8% 21% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29,882.68 · official $29,881.85 (match) · 3500 history records