Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfed1…eedb
sports · 232 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43,577 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43,380 · open −$197
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,536
Realized−$43,380
Unrealized−$197
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses81 / 145
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$2,524
Open positions6
Markets (closed)226 / 232
History coverage51d
Avg bet$731
Trades / day14.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 6 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,549
7 days+$5,122
14 days−$85
30 days−$27,880
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 52¢ 50¢ $5,484 $5,289 −$195 (-4%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 Over 56¢ 56¢ $56 $56 −$0 (-1%)
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 48¢ $49 $48 −$0 (-1%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 44¢ $45 $44 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 36¢ 0¢ $2,505 $0 −$2,505 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs 9INE 34¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner SPARTA 37¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI HANJIN BRION 25¢ 0¢ $934 $0 −$934 (-100%)
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) PlayTime 49¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. FBC Melgar: Both Teams to Score No 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 23¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 FURIA Esports 43¢ 0¢ $1,536 $0 −$1,536 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) GIANTX 33¢ 0¢ $1,013 $0 −$1,013 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 49¢ 0¢ $724 $0 −$724 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) HANJIN BRION 43¢ 0¢ $622 $0 −$622 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 45¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,101 +$1,899 +172%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $962 +$828 +86%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $83 −$2 -2%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $676 −$176 -26%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $172 −$167 -97%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $153 −$149 -97%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $527 −$520 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,629 +$2,371 +146%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $35 −$34 -98%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $4,405 −$4,337 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $290 −$9 -3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $5,145 +$5,420 +105%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 05 $2,582 −$2,540 -98%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 04 $3,835 −$3,769 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $1,826 +$1,840 +101%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) Jun 02 $3,387 −$3,339 -99%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $2,745 +$3,255 +119%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $1,169 −$1,152 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 02 $955 −$934 -98%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) Jun 01 $1,033 −$1,013 -98%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series Jun 01 $190 +$310 +163%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? May 31 $10 $0 +4%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 31 $1,351 +$947 +70%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) May 30 $80 +$83 +104%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winner May 30 $180 −$180 -100%
Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Eu May 30 $517 −$146 -28%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 30 $1 +$1 +112%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) May 30 $1,629 +$1,838 +113%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5) May 30 $72 −$71 -98%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 30 $126 −$4 -3%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) May 30 $785 −$770 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $2,561 +$435 +17%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5) May 29 $1,819 −$1,803 -99%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division P May 28 $1,015 −$1,011 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $2,408 −$2,365 -98%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) May 28 $748 +$692 +92%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Ameri May 28 $1,932 −$1,536 -80%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $2,319 −$2,278 -98%
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs May 27 $734 −$724 -99%
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs May 27 $782 −$774 -99%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $650 −$650 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $160 −$8 -5%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 26 $7 −$1 -14%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs May 26 $77 −$76 -99%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Ch May 26 $283 −$280 -99%
Counter-Strike: Melilla Titans vs eSuba (BO3) - Exort Series Contender May 26 $114 −$112 -98%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May? May 26 $46 −$2 -4%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 25 $53 −$53 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$45,779
other 1% +$2,207
crypto 0% +$1
world 0% −$5
finance 0% −$2
tech 0% +$2
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $1,035 39m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $1,035 40m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $517 49m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 52¢ $306 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 36¢ $1,101 3h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $3 21h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 53¢ $394 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 53¢ $568 27h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 46¢ $81 30h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 47¢ $78 31h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 47¢ $5 31h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $20 32h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $1 33h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 54¢ $1,095 34h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 54¢ $1,095 34h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 53¢ $32 34h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 53¢ $422 35h
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Dino 14¢ $2 47h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $57 2d
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $51 2d
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $50 2d
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $51 2d
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $46 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Warriors 68¢ $138 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Warriors 68¢ $17 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Warriors 68¢ $8 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Warriors 68¢ $0 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Warriors 69¢ $131 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Warriors 69¢ $48 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Dino 32¢ $320 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -9.4% -18.0% 31% 31% +21.2%
≤30d 156 -15.3% -23.4% 37% 36% -30.6%
≤90d 226 -11.8% -20.2% 36% 34% -33.8%
all 226 -11.8% -20.2% 36% 34% -33.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.4 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 34% -33.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 33% -40.1%
15% -34.8% 32% -45.9%
20% -41.2% 30% -51.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,536.28 · official $5,536.28 (match) · 856 history records