Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:10:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfeda…b697
weather · 467 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$301 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$324 · open +$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$301
Realized−$324
Unrealized+$23
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses395 / 70
Open positions2
Markets (closed)465 / 467
History coverage87d
Avg bet$124
Trades / day19.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 465 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$187
7 days−$330
14 days−$338
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? Yes 87¢ 96¢ $192 $214 +$22 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Yes 75¢ 76¢ $86 $87 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4? Yes 89¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1? No 82¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 6? No 91¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? No 94¢ 0¢ $282 $0 −$282 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4? No 97¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17? No 86¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 26? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $272 −$256 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $95 +$7 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $339 +$21 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $137 +$16 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $359 +$10 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $330 +$14 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $283 −$282 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $176 +$5 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $101 +$9 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $269 +$31 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 9? Jun 10 $69 +$3 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9? Jun 10 $331 +$14 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 9? Jun 09 $60 +$2 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $206 +$10 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $383 +$18 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 8? Jun 08 $207 +$6 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 7? Jun 07 $319 +$15 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 7? Jun 07 $25 +$5 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 7? Jun 07 $430 +$13 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 6? Jun 06 $67 +$9 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 5? Jun 05 $393 +$34 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5? Jun 05 $30 +$5 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 5? Jun 05 $283 +$9 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 5? Jun 05 $187 +$18 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 4? Jun 04 $69 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4? Jun 04 $251 +$7 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 4? Jun 04 $253 +$6 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 4? Jun 04 $16 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 4? Jun 04 $29 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4? Jun 04 $193 −$193 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4? Jun 04 $156 −$155 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 3? Jun 03 $447 +$37 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 3? Jun 03 $40 +$10 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 3? Jun 03 $243 +$14 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 2? Jun 02 $96 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 2? Jun 02 $31 +$18 +58%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 2? Jun 02 $123 +$19 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 2? Jun 02 $271 +$15 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on June 1? Jun 01 $46 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 1? Jun 01 $40 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1? Jun 01 $402 +$16 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 1? Jun 01 $302 +$13 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1? Jun 01 $312 +$18 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 31? Jun 01 $47 +$2 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 31? Jun 01 $441 +$40 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 31? May 31 $24 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 31? May 31 $289 +$11 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 30? May 31 $229 +$18 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 97% −$551
crypto 3% +$249
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 75¢ $49 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 74¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 74¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 74¢ $33 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 87¢ $162 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 85¢ $27 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 82¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 4¢ $0 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 4¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 6¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 6¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 6¢ $9 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 42¢ $8 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $8 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $156 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $18 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 91¢ $81 4h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $49 24h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 88¢ $46 24h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $10 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $8 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $5 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $9 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $9 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $8 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $77 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $3 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $3 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $16 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $7 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -2.9% -12.2% 91% 18% -16.2%
≤30d 106 +1.3% -8.3% 93% 18% -9.7%
≤90d 465 +0.1% -9.4% 85% 25% -10.0%
all 465 +0.1% -9.4% 85% 25% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 25% -10.0%
10% -18.1% 12% -18.6%
15% -26.0% 7% -26.4%
20% -33.3% 4% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $301.08 · official $301.08 (match) · 2139 history records