trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 201 | -49.0% | -53.9% | 24% | 24% | -52.9% |
| ≤30d | 398 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 43% | 43% | -20.6% |
| ≤90d | 983 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 49% | 45% | -10.6% |
| all | 1891 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 49% | 45% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.1% | 45% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 43% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 41% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 37% | -34.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Atlanta Braves | 54¢ | 54¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 53¢ | 55¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | Chicago White Sox | 33¢ | 32¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 46¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+52%) |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | San Francisco Giants | 44¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 52¢ | 42¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-19%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | St. Louis Cardinals | 48¢ | 38¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-22%) |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics | Los Angeles Angels | 45¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-88%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals | St. Louis Cardinals | 49¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Heat | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Ducks | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 202 | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Bucks | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Panthers | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Western Michigan | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Nets | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Devils | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Warriors | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Cavaliers | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Nets | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will India win? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Lakers | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Timberwolves | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Utah | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Warriors | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Jaguars vs. Colts | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Capitals | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Lions | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Troy vs. Jacksonville State | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Flyers | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Hurricanes | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Canadiens | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Mavericks | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Raptors | Jun 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Rockets | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Penguins | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Devils | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Suns | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Heat | Jun 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Spurs | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Jun 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Canadiens | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |