Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:25:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfee0…2f41
sports · 381 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$121 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$114 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$114
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses189 / 162
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions30
Markets (closed)351 / 381
History coverage3d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day252.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 30 History 351 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$103
7 days−$114
14 days−$114
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 20¢ 76¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+280%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Under 28¢ 52¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+83%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 52¢ 92¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+76%)
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 57¢ 80¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+41%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 44¢ 60¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+35%)
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Texas Rangers 68¢ 72¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 45¢ 90¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+100%)
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Cleveland Guardians 52¢ 95¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+83%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 57¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-34%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Under 51¢ 66¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+30%)
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5) Seattle Mariners 70¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 82¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) Miami Marlins 83¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 80¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Under 51¢ 55¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 42¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 13, 7PM ET? Yes 100¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5 Under 76¢ 75¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Under 66¢ 63¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 63¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Miami Marlins 80¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Over 64¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-24%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5 Over 34¢ 25¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-26%)
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Seattle Mariners 45¢ 31¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Over 49¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-34%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$4 +325%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $4 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) Jun 13 $4 −$2 -57%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +23%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -11%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -63%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$7
crypto 42% −$128
world 1% −$1
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 66¢ $1 16m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 51¢ $1 16m
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) BUY Texas Rangers 76¢ $1 16m
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Miami Marlins 80¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 13, 7PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 18m
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 45¢ $1 19m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 80¢ $1 21m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 51¢ $1 21m
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) BUY Miami Marlins 83¢ $1 22m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 64¢ $1 39m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 61¢ $1 54m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 51¢ $1 54m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 41¢ $1 54m
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) BUY Texas Rangers 26¢ $1 54m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 55m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 76¢ $1 59m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 35¢ $1 1h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Cincinnati Reds 66¢ $1 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 90¢ $1 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 70¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 351 +1.5% -8.2% 54% 44% -18.0%
≤30d 351 +1.5% -8.2% 54% 44% -18.0%
≤90d 351 +1.5% -8.2% 54% 44% -18.0%
all 351 +1.5% -8.2% 54% 44% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover252.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 44% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 36% -25.9%
15% -25.0% 30% -33.1%
20% -32.3% 23% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.44 · official $47.10 · 1132 history records