Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:28:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfee8…487c
crypto · 121 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$139 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$141 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$141
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses57 / 63
Open positions1
Markets (closed)120 / 121
History coverage61d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 56¢ 74¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$10 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$8 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$20 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$7 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Apr 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Apr 18 $3 −$1 -31%
Will Real Sociedad win Copa Del Rey? Apr 18 $1 +$1 +126%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$140
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $13 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $9 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $7 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $11 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -17.1% -25.0% 45% 32% -13.0%
≤30d 47 -17.1% -25.0% 45% 32% -13.0%
≤90d 120 -11.1% -19.5% 48% 39% -20.6%
all 120 -11.1% -19.5% 48% 39% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.5% 39% -20.6%
10% -27.2% 37% -28.2%
15% -34.3% 31% -35.2%
20% -40.7% 26% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.56 · official $4.42 · 354 history records