Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfeeb…18dd
crypto · 14 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses3 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$20
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-69.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -65.9% -69.2% 21% 21% -81.7%
≤30d 14 -65.9% -69.2% 21% 21% -81.7%
≤90d 14 -65.9% -69.2% 21% 21% -81.7%
all 14 -65.9% -69.2% 21% 21% -81.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -69.2% 21% -81.7%
10% -72.1% 14% -83.5%
15% -74.8% 7% -85.1%
20% -77.3% 7% -86.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 31 history records