trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 67% | 44% | -24.9% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -13.6% | -21.9% | 60% | 40% | -24.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 64% | 45% | -24.8% |
| all | 14 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 71% | 50% | -24.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 50% | -24.6% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 29% | -31.8% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 7% | -38.4% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 7% | -44.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $1,232 | $1,219 | −$13 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $1,539 | +$293 | +19% |
| Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 24 | $1,611 | −$1,149 | -71% |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $814 | −$24 | -3% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $190 | +$5 | +3% |
| Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $284 | +$72 | +25% |
| Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $379 | +$24 | +6% |
| Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu | Jun 20 | $19 | +$5 | +26% |
| Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 19 | $483 | +$70 | +14% |
| Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 19 | $507 | −$283 | -56% |
| Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20? | May 19 | $5 | +$1 | +22% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20? | Feb 07 | $5 | +$3 | +59% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | Dec 19 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Kings vs. Timberwolves | Dec 19 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |