Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:41:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfefb…2c8e
other · 10 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$52 +30%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized+$51
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)4 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day11.5
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit30%
Chart Positions 6 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days+$51
14 days+$51
30 days+$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 69¢ 64¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$11 +57%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$9 -83%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $30 −$7 -25%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$56 +109%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 82% +$41
sports 12% −$11
crypto 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 69¢ $10 19m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $32 3h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 6h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 6h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 45¢ $23 7h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 11h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 11h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 27h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 29h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 29h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 29h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $51 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +14.6% +3.7% 50% 50% +31.8%
≤30d 4 +14.6% +3.7% 50% 50% +31.8%
≤90d 4 +14.6% +3.7% 50% 50% +31.8%
all 4 +14.6% +3.7% 50% 50% +31.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.7% 50% +31.8%
10% -6.3% 50% +19.2%
15% -15.3% 50% +7.7%
20% -23.6% 50% -2.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.97 · official $38.97 (match) · 16 history records