Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfefe…9128
crypto · 42 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$148 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$109 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$109
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses21 / 21
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage14d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$65
7 days+$193
14 days+$194
30 days+$109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? No 72¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? No 71¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $51 +$31 +60%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $240 +$33 +14%
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $246 −$6 -2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 +$23 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 08 $68 +$97 +143%
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $51 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 08 $9 +$17 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 08 $31 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$10 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 +4%
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P Jun 07 $20 −$16 -77%
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Gran Jun 07 $38 −$38 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 07 $26 −$25 -96%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $15 −$15 -98%
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $8 −$8 -99%
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Jun 07 $101 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $26 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 07 $26 +$15 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 07 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 07 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 07 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 07 $103 −$100 -97%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Jun 07 $133 +$55 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -95%
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $10 −$8 -77%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $167 −$2 -2%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $6 +$3 +54%
Australia vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $51 +$54 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$6 +121%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 06 $109 +$154 +141%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $15 −$15 -99%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $265 +$56 +21%
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 06 $114 +$13 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 02 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 02 $5 −$4 -87%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 02 $287 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 31 $89 −$85 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$121
crypto 24% +$54
world 16% +$21
politics 5% +$55
sports 5% +$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 55¢ $32 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 78¢ $81 15h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $30 16h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $20 16h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 51¢ $30 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $273 18h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $240 2d
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 58¢ $240 2d
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 58¢ $43 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $165 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $68 5d
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 22¢ $42 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 7d
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P SELL No 9¢ $5 7d
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Gran BUY No 72¢ $38 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $26 7d
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 27¢ $15 7d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $20 7d
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY No 71¢ $8 7d
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand BUY Yes 50¢ $25 7d
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand BUY Yes 50¢ $51 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $39 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +67.2% +51.3% 70% 60% +14.3%
≤30d 42 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 43% -5.5%
≤90d 42 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 43% -5.5%
all 42 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 43% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 43% -5.5%
10% -19.2% 36% -14.6%
15% -27.0% 33% -22.8%
20% -34.2% 31% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 92 history records