Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T19:32:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FF 0xff0a…d4fb crypto 62 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$136 (+5%) realized +$136 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate89%55W / 7L
Drawdown43%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day53.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -1.0% -10.5% 89% 18% -5.2%
≤30d 62 -1.0% -10.5% 89% 18% -5.2%
≤90d 62 -1.0% -10.5% 89% 18% -5.2%
all 62 -1.0% -10.5% 89% 18% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 18% -5.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 11% -14.3%
15% -26.9% 5% -22.6%
20% -34.0% 2% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
76% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +5% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$15 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.16 per $1 lost it wins $2.16
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$136
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses55 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)62 / 62
History coverage2d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day53.5
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 62 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 26 $53 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 26 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 26 $7 −$6 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 26 $32 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 26 $56 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 26 $64 +$11 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 26 $58 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 26 $66 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 26 $74 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $48 +$4 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 26 $8 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$15 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $59 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $63 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $59 +$10 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $53 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $47 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 25 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $54 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $57 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $45 +$17 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $29 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 25 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $50 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $49 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 25 $62 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 25 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $45 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $61 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 25 $44 −$44 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 25 $15 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 25 $63 +$3 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 25 $28 +$14 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 25 $45 +$13 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 25 $64 +$2 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 25 $13 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 25 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $65 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $59 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $53 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $47 +$3 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $53 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $14 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $18 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $46 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $74 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $23 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $52 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $52 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $52 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $27 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $32 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $63 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 167 history records