trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 50% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 44% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 44% | 0% | -8.7% |
| all | 28 | -6.1% | -15.0% | 36% | 0% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.0% | 0% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -23.1% | 0% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -30.6% | 0% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -37.4% | 0% | -34.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $32 | $32 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 13 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 10 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 10 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 10 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Yoon in jail before July? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jul 01 | $27 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Jun 13 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Jun 13 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13? | Jun 13 | $28 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 12 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 11 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2025 Bolivia presidential el | Jun 07 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 | Jun 06 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korea | Jun 03 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 01 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2025 French Open? | May 31 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on May 30? | May 30 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | May 28 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Google forced to sell Chrome? | May 28 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 French Open? | May 28 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Bybit buy >$1b ETH by next Friday? | May 28 | $39 | −$8 | -20% |
| Will "Bridgerton" win Best Cast in a Drama Series at the 2025 SAG Awar | Mar 04 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | Feb 26 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |