Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff0f…124a
sports · 92 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$138 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$118 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$118
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses35 / 54
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions3
Markets (closed)89 / 92
History coverage8d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 3 History 89 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$134
14 days−$118
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$12 -46%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $15 −$1 -6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $15 −$10 -65%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $15 −$1 -5%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 −$4 -42%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 −$4 -24%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$12 +79%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $20 −$2 -9%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$12 +76%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $15 +$9 +61%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$12 +81%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $15 +$8 +55%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $15 +$8 +55%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $16 +$1 +6%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $15 +$15 +101%
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Iceland? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $20 −$11 -53%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Iceland? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $8 +$6 +73%
Exact Score: Hungary 2 - 1 Kazakhstan? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $13 +$5 +39%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $5 +$12 +231%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Peru 0 - 1 Spain? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 09 $10 +$6 +57%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $11 −$11 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$1 -5%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$5 -54%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 07 $3 +$8 +250%
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) Jun 07 $8 +$5 +67%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$5 +101%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 −$6 -30%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 07 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$82
crypto 10% −$24
other 6% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 23¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 22¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 12¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $15 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 35¢ $14 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 16¢ $5 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 44¢ $15 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 52¢ $15 8h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) SELL FURIA 35¢ $6 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 49¢ $10 9h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY FURIA 58¢ $10 9h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 13¢ $5 9h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 36¢ $12 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 42¢ $0 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $15 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 38¢ $13 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 41¢ $15 9h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $15 11h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $15 14h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $18 14h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 35¢ $9 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 16h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 17h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 25h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) SELL Team Falcons 25¢ $0 27h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) SELL Team Falcons 34¢ $10 27h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $10 27h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) SELL Team Falcons 30¢ $8 27h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 38¢ $10 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-24.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -16.8% -24.7% 39% 32% -23.2%
≤30d 89 -16.6% -24.6% 39% 34% -20.4%
≤90d 89 -16.6% -24.6% 39% 34% -20.4%
all 89 -16.6% -24.6% 39% 34% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.6% 34% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -31.8% 33% -28.0%
15% -38.4% 31% -35.0%
20% -44.4% 29% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.59 · official $11.59 (match) · 238 history records