Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:26:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff10…eeff
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$356 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$356 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$356
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage3d
Avg bet$152
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$356
7 days+$356
14 days+$356
30 days+$356
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $509 +$132 +26%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $51 −$2 -4%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $51 +$120 +234%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $50 −$49 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 +$81 +158%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $302 +$125 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% +$288
sports 14% +$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +36.5% +23.5% 57% 57% +20.7%
≤30d 7 +36.5% +23.5% 57% 57% +20.7%
≤90d 7 +36.5% +23.5% 57% 57% +20.7%
all 7 +36.5% +23.5% 57% 57% +20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +23.5% 57% +20.7%
10% +11.7% 57% +9.2%
15% +0.9% 43% -1.4%
20% -9.0% 29% -11.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 19 history records