trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -10.1% | -18.7% | 0% | 0% | -18.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 76% | 20% | -19.8% |
| all | 25 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 76% | 20% | -19.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 20% | -19.8% |
| 10% | -24.0% | 8% | -27.4% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 4% | -34.4% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -40.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 20? | No | 96¢ | 93¢ | $28 | $27 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 4? | Jun 04 | $31 | −$3 | -10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 4? | May 04 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28? | Apr 28 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 27? | Apr 27 | $34 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 26? | Apr 26 | $33 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 23? | Apr 23 | $33 | +$10 | +29% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23? | Apr 23 | $32 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 22? | Apr 22 | $46 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 21? | Apr 22 | $42 | +$4 | +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 19? | Apr 21 | $39 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 18? | Apr 19 | $32 | +$7 | +21% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17? | Apr 18 | $30 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 16? | Apr 17 | $29 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 14? | Apr 16 | $3 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13? | Apr 13 | $85 | −$82 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 13? | Apr 13 | $66 | +$14 | +22% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 13? | Apr 13 | $62 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 12? | Apr 12 | $100 | −$67 | -67% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25? | Apr 12 | $201 | −$201 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Apr 12 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 26? | Mar 31 | $31 | +$3 | +9% |
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets | Mar 26 | $200 | +$6 | +3% |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Mar 26 | $200 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25? | Mar 26 | $286 | +$31 | +11% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Mar 25 | $200 | +$85 | +43% |