Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff34…694b
sports · 572 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$22,837 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,061 · open +$8,718
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58,120
Realized+$14,061
Unrealized+$8,718
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses306 / 243
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$6,447
Open positions23
Markets (closed)549 / 572
History coverage4d
Avg bet$929
Trades / day733.7
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 23 History 549 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13,111
7 days+$14,061
14 days+$14,061
30 days+$14,061
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 67¢ 100¢ $9,626 $14,373 +$4,747 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 48¢ 100¢ $5,494 $11,430 +$5,937 (+108%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 72¢ 100¢ $5,453 $7,530 +$2,076 (+38%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anubis Gaming 72¢ 100¢ $3,647 $5,005 +$1,358 (+37%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 45¢ 100¢ $2,053 $4,561 +$2,508 (+122%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 76¢ 100¢ $3,185 $4,206 +$1,021 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 72¢ 100¢ $2,662 $3,716 +$1,054 (+40%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 60¢ 100¢ $1,262 $2,109 +$847 (+67%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 44¢ 30¢ $2,970 $1,991 −$979 (-33%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 56¢ 100¢ $576 $1,025 +$449 (+78%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 58¢ 100¢ $360 $623 +$264 (+73%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 64¢ 100¢ $306 $478 +$172 (+56%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 84¢ 92¢ $407 $444 +$36 (+9%)
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 74¢ 100¢ $222 $300 +$78 (+35%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 28¢ 2¢ $758 $67 −$691 (-91%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Vitality 85¢ 100¢ $56 $65 +$10 (+18%)
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Joao Domingues 46¢ 82¢ $22 $39 +$17 (+79%)
ITF Wichita: Ozan Baris vs Duncan Chan Ozan Baris 52¢ 56¢ $30 $33 +$2 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 72¢ 100¢ $22 $30 +$8 (+39%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 51¢ 70¢ $18 $25 +$7 (+38%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 45¢ 20¢ $47 $21 −$26 (-55%)
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Kenta Miyoshi Kenta Miyoshi 48¢ 2¢ $288 $15 −$273 (-95%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 83¢ 98¢ $13 $15 +$2 (+17%)
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Emile Hudd 63¢ 18¢ $37 $11 −$26 (-71%)
Set Handicap: Chan (-1.5) vs Baris (+1.5) Baris 53¢ 52¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,166 −$1,113 -22%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,090 −$780 -37%
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Jun 12 $146 −$108 -74%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,109 +$1,687 +33%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $3,464 +$812 +23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,852 +$5,648 +72%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $755 −$149 -20%
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
ITF Nice: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Jenny Lim Jun 12 $8 +$2 +32%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 12 $45 +$34 +74%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $369 +$137 +37%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $496 +$137 +28%
Set 1 Winner: Zantedeschi vs Mazzola Jun 12 $509 +$334 +66%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9,925 +$1,264 +13%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $56 +$10 +18%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $220 −$119 -54%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,896 −$1,326 -70%
ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs John Echeverria Jun 12 $3 +$2 +66%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$4 +109%
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Jun 12 $70 +$55 +78%
Set 1 Winner: Added vs Luque Jun 12 $73 +$152 +206%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $5,930 +$58 +1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $878 +$663 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7,733 +$6,483 +84%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $22 +$8 +39%
Set Handicap: Added (-1.5) vs Luque (+1.5) Jun 12 $217 +$8 +4%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $441 −$441 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $26 −$16 -61%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $539 −$526 -98%
ITF Nice: Tatiana Pieri vs Alina Granwehr Jun 12 $30 −$5 -16%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $40 +$21 +51%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $105 +$31 +29%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $694 +$299 +43%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2,422 +$1,567 +65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $6,866 +$1,685 +24%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $1,058 −$1,041 -98%
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Savannah Broadus Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $191 −$191 -100%
ITF Casablanca: Luna Vujovic vs Carlota Martinez Cirez Jun 12 $477 −$421 -88%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3,668 −$941 -26%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,107 −$2,085 -99%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 +$16 +79%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $245 +$190 +78%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,162 +$1,381 +44%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $412 −$412 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7,905 −$2,865 -36%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Salkova vs Kawa Jun 12 $1 $0 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$22,824
other 0% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 84¢ $409 16m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 83¢ $13 16m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 51¢ $18 20m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 44¢ $3,020 20m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 21¢ $14 30m
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues BUY Joao Domingues 45¢ $17 33m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 32¢ $370 34m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 74¢ $5,044 34m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 29¢ $2 34m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 59¢ $4,002 34m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 29¢ $3 35m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 27¢ $253 35m
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues BUY Emile Hudd 62¢ $23 35m
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Kenta Miyoshi BUY Sebastian Gorzny 76¢ $0 36m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 25¢ $132 37m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 69¢ $357 37m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 79¢ $4 42m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 79¢ $356 42m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 79¢ $404 42m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 79¢ $8 42m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 79¢ $101 42m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 75¢ $3,955 42m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $19 42m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 80¢ $1,811 43m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 79¢ $8 44m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 76¢ $665 44m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 51¢ $3 45m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 51¢ $91 45m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 51¢ $32 45m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 51¢ $8 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 549 +2.5% -7.3% 56% 52% -6.8%
≤30d 549 +2.5% -7.3% 56% 52% -6.8%
≤90d 549 +2.5% -7.3% 56% 52% -6.8%
all 549 +2.5% -7.3% 56% 52% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover733.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 52% -6.8%
10% -16.1% 45% -15.7%
15% ← realistic here -24.2% 36% -23.9%
20% -31.7% 30% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58,120.03 · official $58,120.03 (match) · 3500 history records