Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:35:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff3a…f945
crypto · 18 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses11 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day33.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +221%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-25.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -17.9% -25.7% 61% 11% -20.4%
≤30d 18 -17.9% -25.7% 61% 11% -20.4%
≤90d 18 -17.9% -25.7% 61% 11% -20.4%
all 18 -17.9% -25.7% 61% 11% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.7% 11% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -32.8% 6% -28.0%
15% -39.3% 6% -34.9%
20% -45.2% 6% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 42 history records