Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:12:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff3e…34e0
crypto · 1433 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,826 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,831 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$2,831
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses715 / 499
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1214 / 1433
History coverage8d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day352.6
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1214 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$908
7 days+$2,400
14 days+$2,831
30 days+$2,831
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 50¢ 14¢ $8 $2 −$5 (-73%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,431
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $9 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1159 +14.1% +3.3% 57% 57% +11.3%
≤30d 1214 +17.7% +6.5% 59% 59% +13.9%
≤90d 1214 +17.7% +6.5% 59% 59% +13.9%
all 1214 +17.7% +6.5% 59% 59% +13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover352.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.5% 59% +13.9%
10% ← realistic here -3.7% 59% +3.0%
15% -13.0% 59% -6.9%
20% -21.5% 59% -16.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.02 · official $1.27 (match) · 3500 history records