Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:41:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff4a…ffae
crypto · 1528 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$5,199 +56%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,199 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$315
Realized+$5,199
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses471 / 450
Open positions0
Markets (closed)921 / 1528
History coverage16d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day213.2
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 921 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$478
7 days+$1,389
14 days+$4,500
30 days+$5,199
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 32¢ 100¢ $6 $20 +$14 (+210%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 18¢ 100¢ $4 $20 +$16 (+450%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $8 $20 +$12 (+163%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $6 $17 +$11 (+176%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $6 $16 +$10 (+163%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $5 $15 +$10 (+205%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $5 $15 +$10 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $5 $15 +$10 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $5 $15 +$9 (+170%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $5 $14 +$9 (+194%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $5 $14 +$9 (+194%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $5 $14 +$9 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 25¢ 100¢ $3 $12 +$9 (+300%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+163%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$6 (+163%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 26¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+285%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 23¢ 100¢ $2 $10 +$8 (+335%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 38¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+163%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 31¢ 100¢ $2 $7 +$5 (+223%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 32¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$3 (+163%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 9¢ 100¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+1011%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 21¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$3 (+380%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$41 +10888%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$11 +3438%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$12 +3697%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$10 +2949%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$10 +2969%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$10 +2788%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$10 +7644%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +525%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +2788%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +5068%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +5124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -2936%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$12 +28153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$12 +28521%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$13 +30432%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$12 +29987%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +8626%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$14 +36119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +11951%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +14123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$14 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,728
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+105.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 559 +87.3% +69.4% 36% 36% +26.8%
≤30d 921 +127.4% +105.7% 51% 51% +74.0%
≤90d 921 +127.4% +105.7% 51% 51% +74.0%
all 921 +127.4% +105.7% 51% 51% +74.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover213.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +105.7% 51% +74.0%
10% ← realistic here +86.0% 51% +57.3%
15% +68.0% 51% +42.1%
20% +51.6% 50% +28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $314.58 · official $304.97 · 3500 history records