trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +52.3% | +37.8% | 80% | 80% | -35.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +52.3% | +37.8% | 80% | 80% | -35.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +52.3% | +37.8% | 80% | 80% | -35.7% |
| all | 17 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 59% | 59% | -73.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 59% | -73.8% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 59% | -76.3% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 29% | -78.6% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 18% | -80.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | No | 71¢ | 70¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 25¢ | 21¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $62 | +$31 | +51% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$50 | +49% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $200 | −$199 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +238% |
| Will Kashima Antlers vs. Yokohama FC end in a draw? | Nov 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Yokohama FC win on 2025-11-08? | Nov 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | Oct 31 | $2 | +$1 | +39% |
| Manchester City wins the Premier League? | Oct 31 | $397 | −$397 | -100% |
| Will Southampton be relegated? | Oct 31 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw? | Oct 31 | $25 | +$8 | +33% |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-10-31? | Oct 31 | $25 | −$9 | -36% |
| Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-29? | Oct 30 | $10 | +$15 | +151% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? | Apr 04 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| Chelsea wins the Premier League? | Apr 04 | $764 | −$661 | -86% |
| Will Napoli win the Serie A? | Feb 26 | $10 | +$3 | +26% |
| Solana above $190 on January 17? | Jan 18 | $8 | +$2 | +33% |