Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff63…7e0b
crypto · 1370 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$304 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$304 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$304
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1291 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1370 / 1370
History coverage36d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day58.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1370 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$133
7 days+$230
14 days−$121
30 days+$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $71 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $71 +$15 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $70 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$8 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$8 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$8 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$12 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$13 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$10 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$319
other 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $28 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $28 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $28 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $28 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $28 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $21 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +5.0% -5.0% 87% 66% -5.1%
≤30d 808 +1.2% -8.4% 93% 23% -9.3%
≤90d 1370 +1.2% -8.5% 94% 18% -9.0%
all 1370 +1.2% -8.5% 94% 18% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 18% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 8% -17.7%
15% -25.2% 3% -25.7%
20% -32.6% 2% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records