Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff6e…b054
crypto · 1044 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$501 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$501 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$501
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses696 / 348
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1044 / 1044
History coverage52d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day58.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1044 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days−$187
14 days−$188
30 days−$485
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$12 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$501
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $11 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 841 -0.9% -10.3% 70% 37% -11.3%
≤30d 1001 -3.3% -12.5% 67% 38% -12.9%
≤90d 1044 -3.1% -12.3% 67% 39% -12.9%
all 1044 -3.1% -12.3% 67% 39% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 39% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 20% -21.2%
15% -28.4% 10% -28.9%
20% -35.4% 6% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records