Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:59:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xff97…7350
crypto · 1032 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,795 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,692 · open −$103
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$177
Realized−$1,692
Unrealized−$103
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses809 / 246
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1055 / 1032
History coverage32d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day85.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 1055 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,936
7 days−$1,621
14 days−$1,562
30 days−$1,685
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 89¢ 82¢ $100 $93 −$7 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 90¢ 94¢ $80 $84 +$4 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 90¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry Anhelina Kalinina 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5) SE Palmeiras 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Minnesota Twins 69¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $142 +$4 +2%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $156 +$25 +16%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED Leagu Jun 13 $133 +$9 +7%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$8 +8%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$26 +26%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$13 +13%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $100 +$11 +11%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$3 +3%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $85 +$10 +12%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $71 +$13 +18%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $71 +$1 +1%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $59 +$12 +20%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $66 +$2 +3%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $60 +$6 +10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $55 +$5 +9%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $53 +$2 +4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $46 +$7 +14%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $43 +$3 +7%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $41 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$2,291
sports 24% +$565
other 0% −$25
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL KOLESIE 100¢ $146 14m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 90¢ $80 15m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 89¢ $100 27m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 100¢ $181 29m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 97¢ $142 34m
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED Leagu SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $142 51m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 86¢ $156 53m
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED Leagu BUY Misa Esports 93¢ $133 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner SELL UCAM Esports Club 100¢ $109 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner SELL Team Heretics Academy 100¢ $126 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 79¢ $101 1h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner SELL Solary 100¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 90¢ $100 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Heretics Academy 100¢ $114 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 91¢ $1 2h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 93¢ $100 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 100¢ $106 2h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 99¢ $100 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $111 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $100 2h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $104 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 90¢ $100 2h
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner SELL aimclub 100¢ $104 3h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Galions 96¢ $100 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 94¢ $100 3h
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner BUY aimclub 81¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner BUY aimclub 97¢ $100 3h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 2 Winner SELL The Last Resort 100¢ $95 3h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 2 Winner BUY The Last Resort 89¢ $85 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $84 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 226 -22.9% -30.2% 68% 21% -12.1%
≤30d 921 -9.5% -18.1% 76% 23% -11.8%
≤90d 1055 -8.9% -17.6% 77% 24% -11.8%
all 1055 -8.9% -17.6% 77% 24% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 24% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 11% -20.2%
15% -32.7% 5% -27.9%
20% -39.3% 2% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $176.75 · official $176.75 (match) · 3500 history records