| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 10? |
Jun 16 |
$5 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 10? |
Jun 16 |
$5 |
+$1 |
+27% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 10? |
Jun 16 |
$8 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? |
Jun 16 |
$11 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on April 10 |
Jun 16 |
$12 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10? |
Jun 16 |
$13 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 10? |
Jun 16 |
$13 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? |
Apr 10 |
$2 |
−$1 |
-50% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? |
Apr 10 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? |
Apr 10 |
$16 |
−$16 |
-100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? |
Apr 10 |
$20 |
−$20 |
-100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2? |
Apr 10 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28? |
Apr 10 |
$20 |
−$20 |
-100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? |
Apr 10 |
$8 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on |
Apr 10 |
$12 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? |
Apr 10 |
$36 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27) |
Mar 04 |
$19 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025? |
Feb 25 |
$20 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28? |
Feb 14 |
$40 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? |
Feb 02 |
$1 |
$0 |
-50% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? |
Feb 02 |
$12 |
+$1 |
+9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? |
Feb 02 |
$20 |
+$2 |
+8% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? |
Feb 02 |
$27 |
+$1 |
+4% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? |
Jan 27 |
$11 |
+$1 |
+10% |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? |
Jan 22 |
$27 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? |
Jan 22 |
$27 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? |
Jan 19 |
$10 |
+$1 |
+5% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? |
Jan 19 |
$26 |
+$1 |
+3% |
| Japanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026? |
Jan 15 |
$56 |
$0 |
+1% |