trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 100% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +333.0% | +291.8% | 33% | 17% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +156.3% | +131.9% | 62% | 15% | -6.8% |
| all | 20 | +102.9% | +83.6% | 75% | 15% | -6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +83.6% | 15% | -6.8% |
| 10% | +66.0% | 5% | -15.7% |
| 15% | +50.0% | 5% | -23.9% |
| 20% | +35.3% | 5% | -31.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $56 | +$1 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 27 | $139 | +$9 | +6% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 27 | $56 | $0 | -1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $63 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 25 | $63 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $52 | +$3 | +6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 23 | $70 | +$13 | +18% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 23 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 22 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 21 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 19 | $38 | +$1 | +1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 19 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 19 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | Mar 23 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Mar 20 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | Mar 15 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 10 | $15 | $0 | +0% |