Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:40:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FF 0xffe6…da86 crypto 4 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$37 (-39%) realized −$37 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -56% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -63% what you keep after slip
Net edge-63%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day9.0pace
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 56% −$36
other 44% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-60.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -55.8% -60.0% 0% 0% -51.2%
≤30d 4 -55.8% -60.0% 0% 0% -51.2%
≤90d 4 -55.8% -60.0% 0% 0% -51.2%
all 4 -55.8% -60.0% 0% 0% -51.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -60.0% 0% -51.2%
10% -63.8% 0% -55.9%
15% -67.3% 0% -60.2%
20% -70.5% 0% -64.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -46% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -56% · $-wt -46% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$9 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -6%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $41 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $14 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $11 6d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 69¢ $40 6d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $41 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records