Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xffef…c7e4
crypto · 1344 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$246 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$191 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$191
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses808 / 536
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1344 / 1344
History coverage35d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day82.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1344 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$52
14 days−$117
30 days−$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$191
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 -9.4% -18.0% 53% 51% -20.0%
≤30d 1234 -6.1% -15.1% 62% 58% -16.2%
≤90d 1344 -5.9% -14.9% 60% 57% -16.5%
all 1344 -5.9% -14.9% 60% 57% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 57% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 51% -24.5%
15% -30.5% 30% -31.8%
20% -37.3% 14% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records