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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $291
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $343
tr/day 0.7
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 24d
bet $90
tr/day 6.4
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/—/66
draw 90%
Kalshi 81%
active 32d
bet $345
tr/day 0.0
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 20d
bet $278
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $22
tr/day 4.0
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all 29/27/31
draw 70%
Kalshi 44%
active 0d
bet $93
tr/day 0.1
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 0%
Kalshi 94%
active 3d
bet $328
tr/day 0.7
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/20
draw 30%
Kalshi 80%
active 9d
bet $347
tr/day 0.7
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/—/31
draw 36%
Kalshi 75%
active 5d
bet $348
tr/day 0.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/20/47
draw 4%
Kalshi 95%
active 12d
bet $151
tr/day 0.5
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/100/89
draw 26%
Kalshi 79%
active 15d
bet $154
tr/day 1.8
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 57%
Kalshi 64%
active 35d
bet $335
tr/day 1.3
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/97
draw 28%
Kalshi 80%
active 1d
10314
0x53fe…2e11
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $501
tr/day 1.1
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/—/83
draw 3%
Kalshi 73%
active 22d
bet $339
tr/day 6.9
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/45/53
draw 65%
Kalshi 45%
active 0d
+$1K ·5🔓
ROI +38%
Net +20%
bet $303
tr/day 0.4
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/40/33
draw 47%
Kalshi 58%
active 2d
bet $156
tr/day 0.2
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 1%
Kalshi 80%
active 35d
bet $112
tr/day 1.8
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/—/13
draw 23%
Kalshi 65%
active 28d
bet $114
tr/day 1.0
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
bet $186
tr/day 0.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 12%
Kalshi 78%
active 3d
bet $258
tr/day 0.7
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/100/95
draw 4%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $156
tr/day 0.1
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 14d
bet $252
tr/day 0.6
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/20/31
draw 21%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $269
tr/day 0.8
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 47%
Kalshi 88%
active 10d
bet $20
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $210
tr/day 0.1
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 16%
Kalshi 83%
active 35d
bet $409
tr/day 0.0
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 85%
Kalshi 16%
active 35d
bet $90
tr/day 0.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 60%
active 11d
bet $213
tr/day 0.5
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 38/46/41
draw 44%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
bet $41
tr/day 0.8
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/45/74
draw 46%
Kalshi 56%
active 11d
bet $271
tr/day 0.4
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/20
draw 48%
Kalshi 65%
active 35d
bet $12
tr/day 7.6
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 57/48/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
10334
0xace7…462a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,113
tr/day 0.9
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 1d
−$249 ·3🔓
ROI -7%
Net -19%
bet $139
tr/day 0.1
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 6%
Kalshi 87%
active 3d
10336
0xd587…d415
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche finance
bet $691
tr/day 1.0
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/94/88
draw 24%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
+$359 ·5🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
bet $119
tr/day 0.6
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 34d
bet $127
tr/day 0.1
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 75%
Kalshi 82%
active 19d
bet $175
tr/day 0.4
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/100/90
draw 5%
Kalshi 86%
active 1d
10340
0xfcc6…bb12
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche finance
bet $148
tr/day 10.1
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all 79/79/83
draw 64%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
+$2K ·37🔓
ROI +1%
Net -16%
bet $225
tr/day 0.0
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 65%
active 16d
bet $99
tr/day 2.7
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/96/97
draw 12%
Kalshi 99%
active 5d
10343
0xf724…85cc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $988
tr/day 0.4
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $310
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $230
tr/day 0.5
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 35d
bet $144
tr/day 0.2
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 90%
Kalshi 74%
active 17d
bet $36
tr/day 2.1
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all 31/36/39
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $198
tr/day 2.6
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/—/11
draw 74%
Kalshi 49%
active 35d
bet $70
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 14%
active 8d
bet $216
tr/day 1.7
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 35d
#10301
negative
tech
#10302
negative
world
#10303
negative
crypto
#10304
crypto
#10305
negative
tech
#10306
negative
other
#10307
negative
crypto
#10308
negative
world
#10309
negative
world
#10310
negative
world
#10311
negative
crypto
#10312
negative
politics
#10313
negative
crypto
#10314
negative
politics
#10315
borderline
other
#10316
negative
world
#10317
negative
crypto
#10318
negative
other
#10319
negative
sports
#10320
negative
crypto
#10321
negative
crypto
#10322
negative
crypto
#10323
negative
world
#10324
negative
world
#10325
negative
weather
#10326
negative
weather
#10327
negative
crypto
#10328
negative
other
#10329
negative
other
#10330
negative
crypto
#10331
negative
sports
#10332
negative
other
#10333
negative
crypto
#10334
negative
other
#10335
negative
crypto
#10336
negative
finance
#10337
negative
sports
#10338
negative
crypto
#10339
negative
crypto
#10340
negative
finance
#10341
trap
other
#10342
negative
crypto
#10343
negative
world
#10344
negative
tech
#10345
negative
other
#10346
negative
world
#10347
negative
sports
#10348
negative
other
#10349
—
other
#10350
negative
weather
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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