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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $20
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $102
tr/day 1.2
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 61/57/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 0d
−$451 ·3🔓
ROI -16%
Net -24%
11412
0x52b9…bdea
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $619
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 26d
11413
0x50dc…0f6c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $580
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 81%
active 26d
11414
0x2407…bcb0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $633
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 65%
active 26d
bet $429
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 75%
active 26d
11416
0x4d6f…4636
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $515
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 74%
active 26d
11417
0x57e9…6c9b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $718
tr/day 0.8
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 11%
Kalshi 0%
active 0d
+$113 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
11418
0x9030…b4b3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $690
tr/day 0.2
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 26d
11419
0x850c…2672
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,971
tr/day 0.2
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 26d
bet $238
tr/day 0.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 37%
Kalshi 100%
active 26d
11421
0x7cdb…2e9d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $670
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 26d
11422
0x1273…8edd
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $33
tr/day 15.8
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 52/54/54
draw 48%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$2K ·11🔓
ROI +4%
Net -13%
bet $97
tr/day 3.1
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 35/51/48
draw 83%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $144
tr/day 0.5
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/100/76
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 2d
bet $123
tr/day 0.5
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/100/78
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 3d
bet $121
tr/day 0.6
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
11427
0x0678…79c8
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,441
tr/day 0.6
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/75/81
draw 20%
Kalshi 83%
active 26d
bet $257
tr/day 0.2
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/86/88
draw 24%
Kalshi 75%
active 20d
bet $252
tr/day 4.2
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 60/61/55
draw 49%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $6
tr/day 3.1
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 57%
Kalshi 46%
active 0d
—
+$9 ·6🔓
ROI +23%
Net +7%
bet $242
tr/day 0.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/60/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 7d
bet $250
tr/day 0.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/100/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
−$589 ·1🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
bet $372
tr/day 0.2
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/—/14
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
−$3K ·1🔓
ROI -56%
Net -60%
bet $434
tr/day 3.6
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 31/39/58
draw 22%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $79
tr/day 1.1
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 66/61/56
draw 65%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $455
tr/day 0.2
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 26d
bet $277
tr/day 0.3
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/100/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 4d
−$230 ·4🔓
ROI -11%
Net -20%
11438
0x124e…247d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $638
tr/day 0.5
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 99%
Kalshi 96%
active 26d
11439
0xa1b2…7f60
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $575
tr/day 0.5
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/100/68
draw 29%
Kalshi 37%
active 1d
+$2K ·2🔓
ROI -13%
Net -24%
11440
0xe187…b1b5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $618
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 34%
Kalshi 88%
active 26d
bet $346
tr/day 3.0
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/38/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 41%
active 1d
bet $249
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
11443
0x57ea…b601
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $957
tr/day 0.3
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/65/67
draw 96%
Kalshi 42%
active 0d
bet $396
tr/day 0.2
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/27
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 26d
bet $383
tr/day 0.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 4%
Kalshi 69%
active 26d
+$206 ·1🔓
ROI -3%
Net -12%
bet $392
tr/day 0.2
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/27
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 26d
bet $377
tr/day 0.2
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/27
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 26d
bet $126
tr/day 1.5
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 80/58/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $488
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 15%
Kalshi 71%
active 26d
+$167 ·1🔓
ROI +2%
Net -11%
11450
0xf1d4…64ae
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $924
tr/day 1.0
WR 34%
WR 7/30/all 42/35/34
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
#11401
negative
weather
#11402
negative
weather
#11403
negative
weather
#11404
negative
weather
#11405
negative
weather
#11406
negative
weather
#11407
negative
weather
#11408
negative
weather
#11409
negative
weather
#11410
negative
weather
#11411
negative
other
#11412
negative
sports
#11413
negative
sports
#11414
negative
other
#11415
negative
sports
#11416
negative
sports
#11417
negative
other
#11418
negative
sports
#11419
negative
sports
#11420
negative
crypto
#11421
negative
sports
#11422
negative
sports
#11423
negative
sports
#11424
negative
sports
#11425
negative
sports
#11426
negative
sports
#11427
negative
crypto
#11428
negative
world
#11429
negative
sports
#11430
—
borderline
other
#11431
negative
sports
#11432
negative
sports
#11433
negative
other
#11434
negative
sports
#11435
negative
crypto
#11436
negative
other
#11437
negative
sports
#11438
negative
crypto
#11439
negative
other
#11440
negative
sports
#11441
negative
other
#11442
negative
crypto
#11443
negative
other
#11444
negative
crypto
#11445
negative
politics
#11446
negative
crypto
#11447
negative
crypto
#11448
negative
sports
#11449
negative
politics
#11450
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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