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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $131
tr/day 0.0
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 21d
bet $225
tr/day 1.9
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/73/66
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 25d
bet $111
tr/day 0.3
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 26d
11454
0x9e72…99c4
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $5,612
tr/day 1.0
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/67/59
draw 90%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
+$17K ·1🔓
ROI -8%
Net -25%
bet $25
tr/day 2.9
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/62/61
draw 61%
Kalshi 96%
active 2d
bet $117
tr/day 0.6
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/90
draw 4%
Kalshi 87%
active 3d
11457
0xf953…156c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $912
tr/day 0.5
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/71/77
draw 28%
Kalshi 64%
active 22d
bet $29
tr/day 5.5
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 60/55/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
+$208 ·6🔓
ROI +3%
Net -11%
bet $392
tr/day 0.5
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 11%
Kalshi 100%
active 26d
bet $258
tr/day 0.1
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 44%
active 26d
11461
0xd319…ca0a
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $16
tr/day 28.4
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 57/61/60
draw 39%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $60
tr/day 0.2
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/54/55
draw 20%
Kalshi 87%
active 17d
+$591 ·2🔓
ROI -2%
Net -11%
bet $107
tr/day 0.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 6d
bet $156
tr/day 0.8
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 36/50/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
11465
0x833c…f919
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche culture
bet $1,269
tr/day 0.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 39%
Kalshi 67%
active 16d
bet $172
tr/day 1.8
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all 90/96/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 30%
active 0d
11467
0x4f18…1ae2
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $229
tr/day 25.6
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 47/52/52
draw 63%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
11468
0xea53…e1eb
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $62
tr/day 10.2
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 43/49/48
draw 56%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
bet $15
tr/day 2.3
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/51/52
draw 70%
Kalshi 92%
active 5d
bet $346
tr/day 0.9
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all 0/17/24
draw 74%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
+$4K ·5🔓
ROI +48%
Net +34%
bet $49
tr/day 4.9
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 90/95/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 4.6
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 89/94/97
draw 0%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.0
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/97/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $99
tr/day 5.7
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 92/95/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
11475
0xa295…1979
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $95
tr/day 11.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
+$106 ·2🔓
ROI +0%
Net -16%
bet $50
tr/day 4.9
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 100/96/97
draw 0%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/95/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 1d
bet $98
tr/day 5.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 89/94/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $98
tr/day 5.1
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 89/94/97
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 4.8
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 89/95/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.6
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 92/96/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/97/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 4.9
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 90/94/97
draw 0%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 89/96/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 89/97/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
bet $176
tr/day 1.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 4d
bet $91
tr/day 0.8
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 1%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $91
tr/day 0.9
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/94
draw 16%
Kalshi 98%
active 1d
11489
0x1821…26a0
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $21
tr/day 9.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 61/60/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
11490
0xd8af…a1cc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $544
tr/day 0.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 20%
Kalshi 75%
active 26d
bet $138
tr/day 0.7
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/76
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 1d
bet $27
tr/day 0.9
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 13%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
11493
0x1890…b518
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,522
tr/day 0.4
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/100/95
draw 2%
Kalshi 89%
active 19d
bet $53
tr/day 1.8
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 60/50/53
draw 33%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
11495
0x7ad3…15ae
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,324
tr/day 0.2
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/100/95
draw 8%
Kalshi 85%
active 9d
bet $222
tr/day 0.7
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 1d
bet $17
tr/day 0.3
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/—/59
draw 16%
Kalshi 76%
active 26d
11498
0xe467…593a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,043
tr/day 0.3
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/78/72
draw 63%
Kalshi 74%
active 14d
bet $361
tr/day 0.1
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 2%
Kalshi 74%
active 26d
bet $84
tr/day 0.6
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/68/77
draw 73%
Kalshi 98%
active 22d
#11451
sports
#11452
negative
sports
#11453
negative
politics
#11454
negative
world
#11455
negative
sports
#11456
negative
sports
#11457
negative
sports
#11458
negative
sports
#11459
negative
crypto
#11460
negative
other
#11461
negative
crypto
#11462
negative
crypto
#11463
negative
politics
#11464
negative
sports
#11465
negative
culture
#11466
negative
other
#11467
negative
sports
#11468
negative
sports
#11469
negative
sports
#11470
borderline
world
#11471
negative
sports
#11472
negative
sports
#11473
negative
sports
#11474
negative
sports
#11475
negative
sports
#11476
negative
sports
#11477
negative
sports
#11478
negative
sports
#11479
negative
sports
#11480
negative
sports
#11481
negative
sports
#11482
negative
sports
#11483
negative
sports
#11484
negative
sports
#11485
negative
sports
#11486
negative
crypto
#11487
negative
weather
#11488
negative
weather
#11489
negative
sports
#11490
negative
politics
#11491
negative
sports
#11492
negative
crypto
#11493
negative
crypto
#11494
negative
sports
#11495
negative
crypto
#11496
negative
sports
#11497
negative
politics
#11498
negative
sports
#11499
negative
other
#11500
negative
weather
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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