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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
12151
0x6634…7d33
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,527
tr/day 0.3
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/90/77
draw 6%
Kalshi 86%
active 4d
12152
0xb550…2799
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $222
tr/day 23.1
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 10/41/41
draw 83%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
12153
0x1aea…dcc8
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $534
tr/day 0.4
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 17%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
12154
0x73cf…1dfc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $527
tr/day 0.4
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 44%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
bet $376
tr/day 0.7
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 25%
Kalshi 67%
active 13d
bet $263
tr/day 0.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 4%
Kalshi 93%
active 10d
bet $138
tr/day 0.1
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/77/80
draw 5%
Kalshi 100%
active 7d
bet $49
tr/day 5.4
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/72/72
draw 19%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
12159
0x5581…c872
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $501
tr/day 0.6
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/—/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 13d
−$145 ·1🔓
ROI -8%
Net -20%
bet $1,068
tr/day 2.4
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 60/53/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 2d
+$805 ·2🔓
ROI -3%
Net -15%
bet $182
tr/day 0.1
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/80/95
draw 6%
Kalshi 74%
active 13d
bet $100
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $106
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $131
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $120
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $107
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $134
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $112
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $114
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $121
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
12171
0x8d88…22fe
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $656
tr/day 0.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 14%
Kalshi 44%
active 13d
+$275 ·1🔓
ROI -8%
Net -20%
bet $119
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $131
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $119
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $137
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 54%
active 13d
bet $195
tr/day 0.6
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/50/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
−$2K ·1🔓
ROI -11%
Net -20%
bet $126
tr/day 7.2
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 29/53/53
draw 49%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$997 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -14%
bet $286
tr/day 1.0
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 36%
Kalshi 57%
active 3d
bet $333
tr/day 2.4
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 93%
active 4d
12180
0xb5c9…a452
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $2,194
tr/day 8.2
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/44/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 13d
12181
0x1570…1404
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $698
tr/day 0.2
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all 62/50/35
draw 45%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
+$15K ·1🔓
ROI +49%
Net +30%
12182
0x69ff…b15a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $672
tr/day 0.8
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all 67/73/76
draw 100%
Kalshi 6%
active 0d
−$380 ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -18%
bet $386
tr/day 0.6
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 12%
Kalshi 89%
active 2d
bet $408
tr/day 0.9
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 15%
Kalshi 84%
active 13d
bet $284
tr/day 1.6
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/86/72
draw 22%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
bet $19
tr/day 0.2
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/71/86
draw 32%
Kalshi 82%
active 13d
12187
0x175b…93ae
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $808
tr/day 1.5
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 33/38/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 2d
bet $111
tr/day 0.2
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/83/57
draw 39%
Kalshi 67%
active 13d
bet $113
tr/day 1.9
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all 86/52/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12190
0xa563…2bec
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $677
tr/day 0.4
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 35%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
12191
0x4081…6e7d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $665
tr/day 0.3
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 32%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
12192
0x70b8…9840
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $681
tr/day 0.0
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/—/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 13d
bet $42
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 64%
active 13d
12194
0x02ce…02d0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $674
tr/day 0.4
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 34%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
bet $95
tr/day 2.6
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/94/94
draw 38%
Kalshi 75%
active 1d
+$230 ·35🔓
ROI +9%
Net -2%
bet $34
tr/day 0.8
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/86/60
draw 27%
Kalshi 59%
active 9d
+$974 ·4🔓
ROI -2%
Net -12%
12197
0xd0f4…9570
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $609
tr/day 0.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 75%
Kalshi 54%
active 13d
+$101 ·2🔓
ROI -21%
Net -31%
bet $410
tr/day 0.5
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/100/93
draw 15%
Kalshi 82%
active 1d
12199
0x9afe…062a
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche culture
bet $497
tr/day 10.1
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 50/51/51
draw 23%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $112
tr/day 0.0
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 13d
#12151
negative
world
#12152
negative
sports
#12153
negative
world
#12154
negative
world
#12155
negative
world
#12156
—
edge dead
sports
#12157
edge dead
sports
#12158
negative
sports
#12159
negative
other
#12160
negative
sports
#12161
negative
other
#12162
negative
crypto
#12163
negative
crypto
#12164
negative
crypto
#12165
negative
crypto
#12166
negative
crypto
#12167
negative
crypto
#12168
negative
crypto
#12169
negative
crypto
#12170
negative
crypto
#12171
negative
other
#12172
negative
crypto
#12173
negative
crypto
#12174
negative
crypto
#12175
negative
other
#12176
negative
sports
#12177
negative
crypto
#12178
other
#12179
negative
weather
#12180
negative
sports
#12181
edge dead
sports
#12182
negative
other
#12183
negative
crypto
#12184
negative
crypto
#12185
negative
tech
#12186
trap
world
#12187
negative
sports
#12188
negative
sports
#12189
negative
crypto
#12190
negative
crypto
#12191
negative
crypto
#12192
negative
politics
#12193
negative
other
#12194
negative
crypto
#12195
negative
politics
#12196
negative
other
#12197
negative
other
#12198
negative
world
#12199
negative
culture
#12200
—
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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