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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $149
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/67/67
draw 2%
Kalshi 67%
active 14d
bet $311
tr/day 0.1
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/60/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 14d
bet $292
tr/day 0.7
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/20
draw 16%
Kalshi 73%
active 3d
bet $41
tr/day 0.6
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/67/54
draw 18%
Kalshi 96%
active 14d
bet $150
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/83/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 14d
bet $305
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 14d
bet $44
tr/day 0.1
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/69
draw 21%
Kalshi 71%
active 2d
bet $454
tr/day 0.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 47%
Kalshi 94%
active 14d
bet $106
tr/day 0.2
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/86
draw 63%
Kalshi 91%
active 5d
12460
0x1d22…e91f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,365
tr/day 0.7
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/38/82
draw 18%
Kalshi 84%
active 14d
bet $371
tr/day 0.1
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/75/86
draw 2%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $485
tr/day 0.3
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 100/79/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$992 ·2🔓
ROI -13%
Net -24%
bet $265
tr/day 0.5
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 3%
Kalshi 15%
active 0d
bet $288
tr/day 0.4
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/—/59
draw 52%
Kalshi 70%
active 14d
bet $295
tr/day 0.7
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 37%
Kalshi 47%
active 14d
bet $144
tr/day 0.1
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 10%
Kalshi 75%
active 14d
bet $85
tr/day 1.2
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all 100/90/78
draw 50%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
+$322 ·2🔓
ROI +10%
Net -1%
bet $146
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/67/62
draw 4%
Kalshi 92%
active 13d
bet $158
tr/day 0.1
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/67/69
draw 4%
Kalshi 92%
active 12d
bet $199
tr/day 0.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/50/50
draw 27%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $122
tr/day 2.6
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 58/45/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$73 ·5🔓
ROI -16%
Net -24%
bet $43
tr/day 0.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/57/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 14d
bet $347
tr/day 0.3
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 5%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $61
tr/day 0.4
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/12/39
draw 13%
Kalshi 12%
active 0d
bet $15
tr/day 6.0
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all 100/90/89
draw 4%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $74
tr/day 4.4
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/36/36
draw 39%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $266
tr/day 0.1
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 1%
Kalshi 93%
active 14d
12478
0xe491…2df2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $869
tr/day 0.0
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/100/92
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
bet $1,598
tr/day 2.2
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/—/17
draw 34%
Kalshi 67%
active 4d
bet $191
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/71/67
draw 3%
Kalshi 92%
active 14d
bet $134
tr/day 0.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/67/53
draw 6%
Kalshi 100%
active 12d
bet $438
tr/day 0.7
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 32%
Kalshi 84%
active 14d
bet $248
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 63%
active 1d
bet $4
tr/day 0.6
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/50/42
draw 95%
Kalshi 38%
active 14d
bet $254
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $160
tr/day 0.2
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 81%
Kalshi 82%
active 2d
bet $20
tr/day 2.1
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 50/44/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $285
tr/day 0.1
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 1%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $210
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/57/67
draw 1%
Kalshi 92%
active 14d
bet $89
tr/day 0.4
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/100/86
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 8d
bet $227
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 20%
Kalshi 94%
active 14d
bet $225
tr/day 0.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 22%
Kalshi 88%
active 14d
bet $293
tr/day 0.1
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 15%
Kalshi 89%
active 14d
12494
0x15d2…e968
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $645
tr/day 0.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/57
draw 42%
Kalshi 79%
active 14d
12495
0x4208…a0c2
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $49
tr/day 13.2
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all 78/81/79
draw 94%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$237 ·9🔓
ROI +2%
Net -14%
bet $108
tr/day 0.5
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/82/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 14d
bet $8
tr/day 5.0
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 76/52/54
draw 86%
Kalshi 82%
active 0d
+$102 ·5🔓
ROI +3%
Net -11%
bet $298
tr/day 0.1
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 16%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $136
tr/day 0.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 14d
bet $232
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
#12451
edge dead
other
#12452
negative
sports
#12453
negative
world
#12454
negative
sports
#12455
edge dead
crypto
#12456
—
edge dead
crypto
#12457
negative
crypto
#12458
—
edge dead
crypto
#12459
negative
crypto
#12460
negative
crypto
#12461
edge dead
crypto
#12462
negative
crypto
#12463
negative
other
#12464
negative
other
#12465
negative
other
#12466
negative
crypto
#12467
negative
sports
#12468
edge dead
sports
#12469
edge dead
crypto
#12470
negative
world
#12471
negative
weather
#12472
negative
sports
#12473
negative
crypto
#12474
negative
other
#12475
negative
weather
#12476
borderline
sports
#12477
—
edge dead
crypto
#12478
negative
crypto
#12479
negative
politics
#12480
edge dead
crypto
#12481
negative
sports
#12482
negative
crypto
#12483
negative
other
#12484
negative
other
#12485
negative
tech
#12486
negative
crypto
#12487
negative
sports
#12488
—
edge dead
crypto
#12489
edge dead
sports
#12490
negative
crypto
#12491
—
edge dead
crypto
#12492
—
edge dead
sports
#12493
—
edge dead
crypto
#12494
negative
politics
#12495
negative
sports
#12496
negative
crypto
#12497
negative
weather
#12498
—
edge dead
crypto
#12499
other
#12500
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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