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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $259
tr/day 0.4
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 11%
Kalshi 81%
active 15d
bet $344
tr/day 0.3
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/22
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 15d
13153
0x48f3…75ce
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $646
tr/day 1.8
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$241 ·3🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $131
tr/day 0.2
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/—/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 15d
−$174 ·1🔓
ROI -7%
Net -16%
bet $65
tr/day 0.1
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/78
draw 44%
Kalshi 90%
active 1d
13156
0xb2fd…eecf
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $189
tr/day 76.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all 73/73/73
draw 21%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$291 ·1🔓
ROI +8%
Net -17%
13157
0x7e70…f1d6
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $222
tr/day 14.4
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all 81/80/80
draw 96%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
13158
0xee8a…ebc1
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $558
tr/day 0.0
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
13159
0x0e20…c470
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,232
tr/day 0.5
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 0%
Kalshi 93%
active 6d
bet $227
tr/day 0.2
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 27%
Kalshi 78%
active 15d
bet $214
tr/day 0.5
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 29%
Kalshi 89%
active 16d
bet $19
tr/day 1.5
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 82/82/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
−$316 ·11🔓
ROI +0%
Net -9%
bet $185
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 81%
active 16d
13164
0xa42f…65f5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,418
tr/day 0.5
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/100/90
draw 74%
Kalshi 91%
active 13d
+$198 ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
bet $397
tr/day 0.4
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 6%
Kalshi 80%
active 15d
13166
0x580b…72a3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,325
tr/day 0.4
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/88/92
draw 2%
Kalshi 92%
active 15d
bet $299
tr/day 0.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/0/46
draw 11%
Kalshi 92%
active 8d
bet $281
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 86%
active 16d
bet $181
tr/day 0.6
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/89
draw 23%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
+$168 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
13170
0xf58f…3c6d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $810
tr/day 0.4
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 72%
Kalshi 80%
active 16d
bet $37
tr/day 0.7
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 57/42/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 0d
13172
0xd6a7…6356
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $501
tr/day 0.6
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 20%
Kalshi 71%
active 3d
+$212 ·3🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $101
tr/day 5.3
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 56/56/56
draw 59%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
13174
0x5dce…15db
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $586
tr/day 0.0
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 16d
bet $51
tr/day 3.6
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all 62/76/76
draw 38%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $384
tr/day 0.2
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 5%
Kalshi 91%
active 1d
bet $427
tr/day 0.2
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 8%
Kalshi 90%
active 4d
bet $479
tr/day 0.1
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 16d
bet $358
tr/day 0.7
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 3d
13180
0x5018…6108
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,015
tr/day 0.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 16d
bet $116
tr/day 0.8
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/80/57
draw 82%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $342
tr/day 0.1
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 9%
Kalshi 90%
active 2d
bet $325
tr/day 0.1
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 7%
Kalshi 88%
active 1d
13184
0x9771…5a0a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $6,467
tr/day 0.6
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 6d
13185
0x1a73…94d1
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $504
tr/day 1.0
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 1d
bet $133
tr/day 2.8
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all 69/69/66
draw 91%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
bet $385
tr/day 0.1
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/29
draw 10%
Kalshi 85%
active 16d
bet $583
tr/day 5.5
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 67/54/52
draw 76%
Kalshi 82%
active 0d
+$14K ·3🔓
ROI +3%
Net -14%
bet $454
tr/day 0.3
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 57/50/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $138
tr/day 0.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/40/41
draw 25%
Kalshi 83%
active 3d
bet $445
tr/day 0.3
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/56/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 1d
bet $30
tr/day 0.8
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 57/40/45
draw 40%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
13193
0xb3a8…04b4
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $76
tr/day 10.9
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all 88/75/75
draw 33%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
+$335 ·2🔓
ROI +4%
Net -13%
bet $20
tr/day 2.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/55/50
draw 24%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
bet $35
tr/day 3.7
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/65/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 6d
bet $286
tr/day 2.0
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 47/44/43
draw 24%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $44
tr/day 1.4
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all 40/79/91
draw 64%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
+$404 ·10🔓
ROI +4%
Net -6%
bet $476
tr/day 0.6
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 14/45/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $102
tr/day 1.4
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/80/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 5d
bet $198
tr/day 1.0
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/43/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
#13151
one-bet luck
world
#13152
negative
world
#13153
negative
crypto
#13154
negative
sports
#13155
negative
crypto
#13156
thin data
sports
#13157
negative
sports
#13158
negative
crypto
#13159
negative
crypto
#13160
negative
sports
#13161
negative
world
#13162
negative
sports
#13163
negative
crypto
#13164
negative
crypto
#13165
negative
sports
#13166
negative
crypto
#13167
negative
world
#13168
negative
crypto
#13169
negative
crypto
#13170
negative
crypto
#13171
negative
other
#13172
negative
crypto
#13173
negative
sports
#13174
negative
crypto
#13175
negative
sports
#13176
negative
crypto
#13177
negative
crypto
#13178
negative
crypto
#13179
negative
world
#13180
negative
world
#13181
negative
sports
#13182
negative
crypto
#13183
negative
crypto
#13184
negative
world
#13185
negative
world
#13186
negative
sports
#13187
negative
sports
#13188
negative
sports
#13189
negative
sports
#13190
negative
crypto
#13191
negative
sports
#13192
negative
sports
#13193
negative
sports
#13194
negative
crypto
#13195
trap
sports
#13196
negative
sports
#13197
negative
crypto
#13198
negative
sports
#13199
trap
sports
#13200
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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