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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $48
tr/day 0.5
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/80
draw 2%
Kalshi 65%
active 8d
10902
0x0e09…05bb
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $924
tr/day 1.4
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/71/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 55%
active 0d
−$5K ·23🔓
ROI -13%
Net -25%
bet $41
tr/day 1.8
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/47/65
draw 25%
Kalshi 59%
active 0d
+$774 ·4🔓
ROI -3%
Net -12%
bet $382
tr/day 0.2
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 2%
Kalshi 88%
active 24d
bet $62
tr/day 0.3
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/55
draw 36%
Kalshi 51%
active 2d
+$144 ·2🔓
ROI -17%
Net -24%
bet $430
tr/day 0.2
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 9%
Kalshi 90%
active 1d
bet $204
tr/day 0.1
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/33/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 8d
−$789 ·2🔓
ROI -10%
Net -18%
bet $156
tr/day 0.2
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 24d
bet $31
tr/day 1.7
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/96
draw 19%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $284
tr/day 0.1
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/—/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 24d
bet $87
tr/day 0.6
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/78/78
draw 90%
Kalshi 97%
active 4d
+$881 ·5🔓
ROI -2%
Net -11%
bet $41
tr/day 6.2
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all 75/80/83
draw 86%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $112
tr/day 0.7
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/91/90
draw 2%
Kalshi 61%
active 10d
+$143 ·1🔓
ROI +11%
Net +0%
bet $65
tr/day 3.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 50/50/50
draw 87%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
10915
0xb9a4…8c04
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,899
tr/day 0.4
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/87
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $103
tr/day 0.2
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/—/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 54%
active 24d
bet $125
tr/day 0.9
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 40/36/43
draw 78%
Kalshi 96%
active 2d
10918
0x25e2…db79
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $4,475
tr/day 1.7
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/86
draw 15%
Kalshi 100%
active 23d
bet $283
tr/day 0.1
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 24d
bet $203
tr/day 3.2
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/65/68
draw 77%
Kalshi 91%
active 12d
10921
0x9366…6350
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $974
tr/day 0.6
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/57
draw 48%
Kalshi 45%
active 18d
bet $179
tr/day 0.6
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 43%
Kalshi 87%
active 24d
bet $63
tr/day 5.4
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 58/57/58
draw 78%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
bet $106
tr/day 0.2
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/—/74
draw 95%
Kalshi 72%
active 8d
10925
0x0583…7dd4
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $781
tr/day 12.4
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/82/99
draw 1%
Kalshi 81%
active 21d
+$14K ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -19%
10926
0xd0fd…a7da
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $4,376
tr/day 0.5
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 50/54/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
−$28K ·1🔓
ROI +9%
Net -11%
bet $393
tr/day 2.8
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/57
draw 42%
Kalshi 97%
active 24d
bet $61
tr/day 1.1
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/50/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 55%
active 2d
+$398 ·14🔓
ROI +7%
Net -3%
bet $411
tr/day 0.2
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 4%
Kalshi 88%
active 24d
bet $449
tr/day 0.2
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 5%
Kalshi 90%
active 1d
10931
0x3e35…4f69
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $902
tr/day 1.9
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/86/86
draw 0%
Kalshi 13%
active 0d
−$4K ·23🔓
ROI +21%
Net +9%
bet $196
tr/day 0.7
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/57/53
draw 59%
Kalshi 89%
active 4d
10933
0xcc59…096f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $995
tr/day 0.7
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/57/74
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 22d
bet $51
tr/day 6.3
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all 94/84/66
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 0d
bet $70
tr/day 0.6
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 57/58/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $106
tr/day 0.1
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 24d
bet $352
tr/day 0.1
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 49%
active 24d
bet $72
tr/day 0.3
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 9%
Kalshi 94%
active 24d
10939
0x89b8…4710
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,482
tr/day 0.3
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 4%
Kalshi 75%
active 8d
bet $323
tr/day 0.5
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 70%
Kalshi 93%
active 24d
bet $307
tr/day 0.3
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 12d
bet $281
tr/day 0.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 24d
bet $235
tr/day 1.0
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 47%
active 24d
bet $110
tr/day 0.1
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 2d
bet $369
tr/day 0.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/40/53
draw 11%
Kalshi 73%
active 4d
bet $354
tr/day 0.3
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/0/13
draw 52%
Kalshi 93%
active 10d
bet $307
tr/day 0.3
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/12/14
draw 70%
Kalshi 86%
active 13d
bet $52
tr/day 1.0
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all 85/92/93
draw 7%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $146
tr/day 0.6
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all 100/87/92
draw 21%
Kalshi 86%
active 1d
+$259 ·8🔓
ROI -0%
Net -10%
bet $114
tr/day 3.0
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/25/35
draw 70%
Kalshi 72%
active 23d
#10901
negative
politics
#10902
negative
other
#10903
negative
other
#10904
negative
crypto
#10905
negative
other
#10906
negative
crypto
#10907
negative
crypto
#10908
sports
#10909
negative
weather
#10910
negative
other
#10911
negative
crypto
#10912
negative
crypto
#10913
negative
other
#10914
borderline
crypto
#10915
negative
crypto
#10916
negative
other
#10917
negative
sports
#10918
negative
sports
#10919
negative
other
#10920
negative
sports
#10921
negative
other
#10922
negative
sports
#10923
negative
crypto
#10924
negative
world
#10925
negative
weather
#10926
negative
sports
#10927
negative
sports
#10928
negative
other
#10929
negative
crypto
#10930
negative
crypto
#10931
thin data
other
#10932
negative
sports
#10933
negative
crypto
#10934
negative
sports
#10935
negative
sports
#10936
negative
sports
#10937
negative
other
#10938
negative
crypto
#10939
negative
sports
#10940
negative
world
#10941
negative
world
#10942
negative
crypto
#10943
negative
other
#10944
negative
crypto
#10945
negative
world
#10946
negative
world
#10947
negative
world
#10948
negative
crypto
#10949
negative
weather
#10950
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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