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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $36
tr/day 0.2
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/—/72
draw 4%
Kalshi 46%
active 28d
bet $125
tr/day 1.7
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/100/76
draw 42%
Kalshi 82%
active 8d
11853
0x7bcc…b4fa
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $469
tr/day 14.6
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 47/53/53
draw 36%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$22K ·2🔓
ROI +3%
Net -14%
bet $14
tr/day 6.5
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 33/47/48
draw 46%
Kalshi 34%
active 0d
bet $36
tr/day 0.9
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 43/60/55
draw 83%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
11856
0x3389…0935
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $704
tr/day 0.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 28d
11857
0xdb8d…8811
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $598
tr/day 0.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 28d
11858
0xf8a9…f208
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $523
tr/day 0.1
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 44%
Kalshi 53%
active 28d
bet $262
tr/day 3.7
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 9%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
bet $39
tr/day 1.7
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 90%
Kalshi 95%
active 25d
bet $496
tr/day 0.6
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 6%
Kalshi 91%
active 10d
bet $255
tr/day 0.4
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 90%
Kalshi 72%
active 6d
11863
0xf265…3e9d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,601
tr/day 0.5
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/67/85
draw 8%
Kalshi 93%
active 28d
bet $221
tr/day 0.2
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/45/47
draw 82%
Kalshi 79%
active 15d
11865
0x359f…18e6
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $11
tr/day 9.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/62/50
draw 47%
Kalshi 100%
active 7d
bet $344
tr/day 2.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 1%
Kalshi 76%
active 4d
bet $152
tr/day 5.0
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/55/55
draw 95%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
11868
0xc9b6…0937
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,555
tr/day 0.5
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/67/82
draw 7%
Kalshi 87%
active 13d
11869
0x6277…80e6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $894
tr/day 0.4
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/64/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 15d
bet $109
tr/day 0.9
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 29/39/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $116
tr/day 0.9
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 29/46/56
draw 80%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $103
tr/day 0.9
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/44/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $103
tr/day 1.1
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/61/61
draw 93%
Kalshi 97%
active 24d
11874
0x9e9c…74df
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,225
tr/day 0.8
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/75/83
draw 49%
Kalshi 90%
active 20d
bet $102
tr/day 0.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 3d
bet $393
tr/day 0.3
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 9%
Kalshi 78%
active 11d
bet $254
tr/day 0.0
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 28d
bet $315
tr/day 0.3
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/—/26
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 6d
bet $146
tr/day 0.2
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 14d
+$851 ·8🔓
ROI -11%
Net -19%
bet $423
tr/day 0.8
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 28d
bet $430
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 40%
Kalshi 71%
active 28d
bet $265
tr/day 0.8
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 43%
Kalshi 100%
active 28d
bet $412
tr/day 0.3
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all —/0/28
draw 24%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $140
tr/day 1.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 71/71/71
draw 60%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $270
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 68%
Kalshi 100%
active 28d
bet $134
tr/day 2.8
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 67/62/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
−$229 ·3🔓
ROI -9%
Net -17%
bet $369
tr/day 0.3
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/—/59
draw 12%
Kalshi 71%
active 15d
bet $303
tr/day 0.3
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/20/21
draw 62%
Kalshi 79%
active 3d
bet $346
tr/day 0.5
WR 19%
WR 7/30/all —/14/19
draw 53%
Kalshi 88%
active 12d
bet $317
tr/day 0.5
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/33/27
draw 88%
Kalshi 80%
active 11d
11891
0x5d5c…cf59
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,168
tr/day 0.3
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 7%
Kalshi 72%
active 23d
+$435 ·2🔓
ROI -0%
Net -14%
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $261
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 1%
Kalshi 83%
active 28d
bet $143
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 22d
−$897 ·2🔓
ROI -3%
Net -12%
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $336
tr/day 0.7
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/100/92
draw 14%
Kalshi 81%
active 9d
11898
0xdf24…8a7e
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $378
tr/day 18.5
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 56/56/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
11899
0xa995…0813
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $555
tr/day 0.7
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 1%
Kalshi 76%
active 28d
+$425 ·3🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
bet $210
tr/day 0.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 84%
active 11d
#11851
negative
other
#11852
negative
world
#11853
negative
sports
#11854
negative
other
#11855
negative
sports
#11856
negative
politics
#11857
negative
other
#11858
negative
other
#11859
negative
world
#11860
negative
sports
#11861
negative
crypto
#11862
negative
crypto
#11863
negative
crypto
#11864
negative
sports
#11865
negative
crypto
#11866
negative
finance
#11867
negative
sports
#11868
negative
crypto
#11869
negative
politics
#11870
negative
sports
#11871
negative
sports
#11872
negative
sports
#11873
negative
sports
#11874
negative
crypto
#11875
world
#11876
negative
world
#11877
negative
politics
#11878
negative
world
#11879
negative
sports
#11880
negative
world
#11881
negative
world
#11882
negative
world
#11883
negative
world
#11884
negative
weather
#11885
negative
world
#11886
negative
sports
#11887
negative
world
#11888
negative
world
#11889
negative
world
#11890
negative
world
#11891
negative
crypto
#11892
negative
weather
#11893
world
#11894
negative
crypto
#11895
negative
weather
#11896
negative
weather
#11897
negative
crypto
#11898
negative
sports
#11899
negative
crypto
#11900
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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