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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $15
tr/day 3.0
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 86%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
—
+$53 ·4🔓
ROI +65%
Net +49%
bet $8
tr/day 2.7
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 83%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
—
+$14 ·1🔓
ROI +21%
Net +9%
bet $93
tr/day 1.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 12%
Kalshi 70%
active 22d
4504
0x4ea5…1d50
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,644
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 22d
bet $38
tr/day 5.3
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all 100/90/90
draw 2%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
+$344 ·17🔓
ROI +52%
Net +32%
bet $13
tr/day 1.1
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 32%
active 22d
bet $138
tr/day 1.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/40/56
draw 84%
Kalshi 50%
active 17d
+$48 ·3🔓
ROI -28%
Net -35%
bet $35
tr/day 0.1
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/40/45
draw 62%
Kalshi 50%
active 19d
+$91 ·1🔓
ROI +63%
Net +48%
4509
0x4579…0772
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,844
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 22d
bet $53
tr/day 0.2
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 22d
bet $33
tr/day 3.0
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 37%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
—
+$698 ·12🔓
ROI +17%
Net +2%
bet $18
tr/day 1.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 67/43/43
draw 14%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
+$588 ·3🔓
ROI +18%
Net +7%
4513
0xf2ce…8102
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $995
tr/day 0.6
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 76%
Kalshi 7%
active 22d
bet $78
tr/day 0.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 34%
Kalshi 22%
active 22d
bet $492
tr/day 0.0
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/33/43
draw 69%
Kalshi 57%
active 22d
4516
0x5819…2b4f
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $56
tr/day 21.5
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 56/52/52
draw 31%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$4K ·7🔓
ROI +15%
Net -11%
bet $15
tr/day 2.3
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/86/80
draw 4%
Kalshi 66%
active 17d
+$611 ·10🔓
ROI +41%
Net +28%
bet $16
tr/day 2.7
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 70%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
—
+$138 ·12🔓
ROI +21%
Net +10%
bet $329
tr/day 1.1
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 45/45/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $65
tr/day 0.0
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 22d
4521
0xbefb…ea8b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $656
tr/day 1.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 22d
bet $52
tr/day 2.0
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
—
+$1K ·3🔓
ROI +31%
Net +18%
bet $175
tr/day 1.2
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/73/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 0d
−$495 ·17🔓
ROI +17%
Net +6%
bet $280
tr/day 0.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 25%
active 22d
4525
0xa0a9…e390
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $4,718
tr/day 0.7
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 36%
Kalshi 100%
active 22d
bet $199
tr/day 0.1
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 22%
Kalshi 80%
active 22d
bet $201
tr/day 1.6
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 84%
Kalshi 0%
active 22d
bet $110
tr/day 0.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 22d
bet $66
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 30%
Kalshi 51%
active 22d
bet $123
tr/day 0.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 51%
Kalshi 56%
active 24d
—
+$520 ·2🔓
ROI +22%
Net +11%
bet $105
tr/day 0.4
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 63%
Kalshi 31%
active 22d
bet $19
tr/day 0.2
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 35%
active 18d
—
+$74 ·1🔓
ROI +26%
Net +14%
bet $24
tr/day 0.7
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 51%
Kalshi 29%
active 21d
bet $18
tr/day 0.6
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/42/47
draw 78%
Kalshi 66%
active 22d
+$231 ·3🔓
ROI +17%
Net +6%
bet $62
tr/day 0.2
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 78%
Kalshi 30%
active 0d
—
+$285 ·6🔓
ROI +75%
Net +58%
bet $11
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 80%
Kalshi 90%
active 22d
bet $428
tr/day 1.7
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 62%
Kalshi 68%
active 23d
4538
0x1a00…e88a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,842
tr/day 0.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 12%
active 16d
bet $15
tr/day 0.2
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 20%
Kalshi 71%
active 23d
bet $11
tr/day 0.2
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 27%
Kalshi 29%
active 23d
bet $37
tr/day 0.4
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 2d
bet $138
tr/day 6.8
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 92%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $1,721
tr/day 3.2
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/95
draw 6%
Kalshi 70%
active 3d
+$13K ·1🔓
ROI +24%
Net +4%
bet $132
tr/day 2.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/80/50
draw 34%
Kalshi 63%
active 23d
bet $9
tr/day 4.3
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 35%
Kalshi 59%
active 2d
bet $151
tr/day 0.4
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all 33/32/33
draw 69%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
+$1K ·2🔓
ROI +22%
Net +10%
bet $160
tr/day 2.5
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/72/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 23d
bet $204
tr/day 7.5
WR 34%
WR 7/30/all —/62/34
draw 67%
Kalshi 32%
active 23d
bet $64
tr/day 6.3
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all 73/76/76
draw 25%
Kalshi 62%
active 0d
+$666 ·2🔓
ROI +20%
Net +4%
bet $34
tr/day 0.3
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 10d
—
+$42 ·1🔓
ROI +23%
Net +11%
#4501
—
copyable
crypto
#4502
—
trap
sports
#4503
world
#4504
politics
#4505
fragile wins
sports
#4506
trap
other
#4507
thin data
other
#4508
thin data
sports
#4509
other
#4510
trap
sports
#4511
—
trap
sports
#4512
trap
sports
#4513
trap
other
#4514
trap
other
#4515
trap
other
#4516
trap
sports
#4517
one-bet luck
sports
#4518
—
trap
crypto
#4519
trap
sports
#4520
other
#4521
other
#4522
—
borderline
sports
#4523
trap
other
#4524
other
#4525
sports
#4526
crypto
#4527
other
#4528
other
#4529
trap
other
#4530
—
trap
other
#4531
trap
other
#4532
—
borderline
other
#4533
other
#4534
trap
sports
#4535
—
borderline
other
#4536
sports
#4537
trap
sports
#4538
other
#4539
world
#4540
other
#4541
—
trap
sports
#4542
—
copyable
sports
#4543
fragile wins
world
#4544
trap
sports
#4545
—
borderline
sports
#4546
trap
sports
#4547
trap
crypto
#4548
trap
other
#4549
trap
other
#4550
—
borderline
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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