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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $28
tr/day 0.0
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 42%
Kalshi 14%
active 32d
bet $234
tr/day 0.2
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/45/49
draw 1%
Kalshi 76%
active 16d
bet $26
tr/day 0.2
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/—/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 26%
active 26d
bet $236
tr/day 0.6
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 10d
bet $70
tr/day 0.4
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 42/42/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
−$86 ·1🔓
ROI +64%
Net +49%
bet $290
tr/day 0.5
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 11d
bet $205
tr/day 0.3
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 24d
bet $264
tr/day 3.7
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 29/36/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 6%
active 1d
5409
0x5a7b…e9eb
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $2,630
tr/day 21.7
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 14%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
—
+$88K ·42🔓
ROI +49%
Net +3%
bet $187
tr/day 0.5
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 14d
5411
0xf655…7ea4
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $9,535
tr/day 43.6
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 62/62/52
draw 23%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
+$332K ·19🔓
ROI +66%
Net +16%
5412
0x9d3a…d724
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $224
tr/day 9.9
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 94%
Kalshi 37%
active 1d
5413
0x7a47…740b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $634
tr/day 0.4
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 7%
Kalshi 21%
active 32d
bet $377
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 32d
5415
0xfc34…3694
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,161
tr/day 0.0
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 29d
bet $133
tr/day 0.1
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 33d
bet $121
tr/day 0.4
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 71%
Kalshi 16%
active 32d
bet $32
tr/day 0.9
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 32%
Kalshi 20%
active 33d
5419
0xc300…f2e1
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $837
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 33d
5420
0x977f…0981
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $526
tr/day 27.1
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 77/71/46
draw 16%
Kalshi 61%
active 0d
+$6K ·25🔓
ROI +27%
Net -6%
bet $77
tr/day 0.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 36%
Kalshi 14%
active 31d
bet $13
tr/day 0.2
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 52%
Kalshi 55%
active 33d
5423
0x5950…0d33
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $5,851
tr/day 1.9
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/29/47
draw 11%
Kalshi 59%
active 29d
bet $44
tr/day 0.2
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 75%
Kalshi 100%
active 33d
5425
0x252e…184c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,661
tr/day 0.0
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 24d
5426
0x6db6…50ce
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $615
tr/day 0.2
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/20
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 3d
−$154 ·3🔓
ROI -6%
Net -18%
5427
0xb56c…30f3
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $11
tr/day 9.0
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 67/42/53
draw 12%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
5428
0xd4bd…37cb
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,593
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 20d
bet $37
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 19d
bet $84
tr/day 1.8
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 54/52/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
bet $15
tr/day 5.7
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 35%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
—
+$336 ·3🔓
ROI +33%
Net +15%
bet $163
tr/day 0.5
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/40/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 13%
active 16d
bet $31
tr/day 0.7
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/56/45
draw 29%
Kalshi 55%
active 16d
5434
0x52aa…59f2
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $42
tr/day 10.9
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 12%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
bet $75
tr/day 0.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/40/43
draw 19%
Kalshi 73%
active 17d
bet $2
tr/day 3.8
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 14%
Kalshi 42%
active 0d
—
+$61 ·1🔓
ROI +166%
Net +131%
bet $15
tr/day 0.3
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 87%
Kalshi 0%
active 20d
5438
0x9a46…0aaa
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,416
tr/day 0.2
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 5%
Kalshi 75%
active 20d
5439
0x0851…7f61
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,669
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 20d
5440
0xb264…0bb7
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,878
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 20d
bet $23
tr/day 1.5
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 43%
Kalshi 22%
active 17d
5442
0x1361…eaee
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,902
tr/day 0.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 20d
bet $85
tr/day 1.1
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 3d
5444
0x4081…0a9e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,778
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 20d
5445
0xcca2…1058
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,727
tr/day 0.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 20d
bet $41
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 49%
Kalshi 88%
active 20d
bet $73
tr/day 3.2
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 56/52/45
draw 79%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
5448
0xbbe6…1485
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,500
tr/day 0.1
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 21d
5449
0x23aa…0683
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,559
tr/day 0.1
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 21d
5450
0x4a01…c643
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,527
tr/day 0.1
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 21d
#5401
other
#5402
trap
crypto
#5403
trap
other
#5404
world
#5405
borderline
crypto
#5406
world
#5407
fragile wins
politics
#5408
trap
other
#5409
—
borderline
other
#5410
sports
#5411
borderline
sports
#5412
—
borderline
other
#5413
trap
other
#5414
sports
#5415
politics
#5416
sports
#5417
trap
other
#5418
other
#5419
other
#5420
borderline
sports
#5421
other
#5422
sports
#5423
trap
sports
#5424
weather
#5425
crypto
#5426
thin data
politics
#5427
borderline
weather
#5428
politics
#5429
other
#5430
trap
sports
#5431
—
borderline
other
#5432
trap
other
#5433
one-bet luck
other
#5434
—
copyable
sports
#5435
one-bet luck
crypto
#5436
—
borderline
other
#5437
other
#5438
crypto
#5439
politics
#5440
other
#5441
other
#5442
politics
#5443
crypto
#5444
other
#5445
politics
#5446
world
#5447
trap
crypto
#5448
politics
#5449
politics
#5450
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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