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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $1,400
tr/day 2.7
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 3%
Kalshi 86%
active 15d
bet $84
tr/day 2.4
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 37%
Kalshi 56%
active 0d
—
+$327 ·2🔓
ROI +37%
Net +24%
bet $18
tr/day 0.0
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 16%
Kalshi 100%
active 19d
bet $169
tr/day 0.9
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 20%
active 18d
bet $181
tr/day 0.8
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 61%
Kalshi 55%
active 14d
bet $28
tr/day 0.7
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 17%
Kalshi 42%
active 0d
—
+$605 ·1🔓
ROI +34%
Net +22%
bet $37
tr/day 2.7
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 13%
Kalshi 15%
active 0d
—
+$650 ·3🔓
ROI +82%
Net +65%
bet $275
tr/day 0.2
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 61%
Kalshi 91%
active 15d
bet $24
tr/day 4.5
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 54%
Kalshi 65%
active 0d
—
+$547 ·4🔓
ROI +34%
Net +16%
bet $32
tr/day 3.2
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 29%
Kalshi 31%
active 0d
—
+$726 ·4🔓
ROI +25%
Net +9%
bet $439
tr/day 0.6
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 22%
Kalshi 0%
active 14d
bet $106
tr/day 2.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 28%
Kalshi 17%
active 14d
bet $12
tr/day 0.6
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 16%
Kalshi 0%
active 15d
bet $146
tr/day 1.6
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 58/57/62
draw 37%
Kalshi 61%
active 0d
+$1K ·4🔓
ROI +33%
Net +20%
bet $23
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 21%
Kalshi 25%
active 16d
bet $77
tr/day 0.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 34%
Kalshi 14%
active 18d
bet $197
tr/day 0.0
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 39%
Kalshi 38%
active 0d
—
+$833 ·1🔓
ROI +84%
Net +66%
bet $13
tr/day 0.2
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 50%
Kalshi 55%
active 20d
bet $29
tr/day 2.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 4%
Kalshi 71%
active 15d
bet $140
tr/day 0.0
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 20d
bet $399
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 7d
1822
0xc2e9…fc96
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche economics
bet $1,298
tr/day 0.2
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 20d
bet $44
tr/day 0.2
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 75%
Kalshi 100%
active 20d
bet $384
tr/day 0.0
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 6%
Kalshi 25%
active 15d
bet $181
tr/day 0.3
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 6%
Kalshi 80%
active 2d
bet $315
tr/day 0.7
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 5d
bet $91
tr/day 0.3
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 24%
active 0d
—
+$309 ·2🔓
ROI +28%
Net +16%
bet $353
tr/day 0.3
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 6%
Kalshi 67%
active 20d
bet $115
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 20d
bet $119
tr/day 0.9
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 6%
Kalshi 76%
active 1d
bet $130
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 38%
Kalshi 86%
active 20d
bet $28
tr/day 0.2
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 13%
Kalshi 80%
active 20d
bet $290
tr/day 0.7
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 54%
Kalshi 64%
active 14d
bet $111
tr/day 0.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 20d
1835
0x5b0e…077d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $4,220
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 25%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 3.3
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 33/62/62
draw 18%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
+$486 ·4🔓
ROI +61%
Net +40%
bet $155
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 98%
Kalshi 0%
active 20d
bet $317
tr/day 0.9
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 41%
Kalshi 55%
active 18d
bet $1,319
tr/day 5.1
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 41%
Kalshi 100%
active 20d
bet $101
tr/day 5.3
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 38%
active 0d
1841
0x9a77…505a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $783
tr/day 1.0
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 5d
bet $8
tr/day 7.9
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 30%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
—
+$563 ·3🔓
ROI +32%
Net +15%
bet $60
tr/day 1.3
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 88%
Kalshi 100%
active 19d
bet $100
tr/day 4.6
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 62/60/60
draw 11%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $31
tr/day 2.1
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 18%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
—
+$228 ·18🔓
ROI +25%
Net +13%
bet $92
tr/day 0.0
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 21%
Kalshi 78%
active 20d
bet $14
tr/day 0.3
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 40/59/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
+$365 ·3🔓
ROI +31%
Net +18%
bet $212
tr/day 0.0
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 13%
Kalshi 80%
active 22d
bet $349
tr/day 0.2
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 20%
active 16d
bet $49
tr/day 0.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 2%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
#1801
sports
#1802
—
copyable
sports
#1803
sports
#1804
—
borderline
other
#1805
other
#1806
—
copyable
other
#1807
—
borderline
other
#1808
sports
#1809
—
borderline
crypto
#1810
—
copyable
other
#1811
other
#1812
other
#1813
other
#1814
borderline
sports
#1815
other
#1816
other
#1817
—
borderline
other
#1818
sports
#1819
sports
#1820
other
#1821
economics
#1822
economics
#1823
weather
#1824
other
#1825
world
#1826
world
#1827
—
copyable
other
#1828
other
#1829
sports
#1830
—
borderline
world
#1831
sports
#1832
crypto
#1833
other
#1834
crypto
#1835
other
#1836
copyable
sports
#1837
other
#1838
other
#1839
crypto
#1840
—
borderline
other
#1841
sports
#1842
—
borderline
weather
#1843
sports
#1844
copyable
sports
#1845
—
borderline
politics
#1846
crypto
#1847
copyable
sports
#1848
sports
#1849
other
#1850
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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