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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
8301
0x6188…8a17
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,706
tr/day 0.3
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 78%
Kalshi 85%
active 35d
bet $343
tr/day 1.4
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/54/39
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 4d
bet $212
tr/day 0.3
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/—/14
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 9d
bet $206
tr/day 5.0
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/71/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 23d
bet $262
tr/day 0.3
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/29
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $18
tr/day 3.0
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/11/61
draw 14%
Kalshi 96%
active 4d
bet $688
tr/day 6.8
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/43/47
draw 40%
Kalshi 71%
active 22d
bet $392
tr/day 0.6
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 12%
Kalshi 85%
active 34d
bet $254
tr/day 0.5
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/22
draw 79%
Kalshi 61%
active 28d
bet $118
tr/day 2.7
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/—/11
draw 69%
Kalshi 54%
active 29d
bet $198
tr/day 1.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 26d
bet $106
tr/day 0.2
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 36d
bet $185
tr/day 0.3
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 38%
Kalshi 79%
active 19d
bet $274
tr/day 0.4
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/—/24
draw 28%
Kalshi 59%
active 29d
bet $273
tr/day 0.5
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 67%
Kalshi 66%
active 29d
8316
0xa82e…6884
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $896
tr/day 0.5
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 62%
Kalshi 19%
active 24d
bet $390
tr/day 0.4
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 45%
Kalshi 70%
active 10d
bet $133
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 26d
bet $103
tr/day 0.2
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 36d
bet $132
tr/day 0.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 96%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
bet $301
tr/day 4.3
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 99%
Kalshi 47%
active 32d
bet $321
tr/day 4.6
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all 92/81/83
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
bet $111
tr/day 1.6
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 100/91/68
draw 33%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $104
tr/day 0.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/80/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
−$140 ·2🔓
ROI -7%
Net -16%
bet $244
tr/day 0.5
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/20
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 26d
bet $254
tr/day 0.9
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 16d
bet $239
tr/day 2.7
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/—/14
draw 33%
Kalshi 55%
active 32d
bet $251
tr/day 0.4
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/27
draw 100%
Kalshi 65%
active 29d
bet $352
tr/day 0.4
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 36d
bet $240
tr/day 0.8
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/—/17
draw 80%
Kalshi 67%
active 16d
bet $66
tr/day 4.6
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 76/73/71
draw 16%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
bet $64
tr/day 6.9
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 57/40/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $383
tr/day 0.5
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 80%
Kalshi 64%
active 8d
bet $340
tr/day 0.2
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/—/74
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 8d
bet $364
tr/day 3.9
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 40/68/60
draw 48%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
bet $194
tr/day 0.6
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 44%
active 16d
bet $252
tr/day 0.4
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/27
draw 36%
Kalshi 65%
active 29d
bet $273
tr/day 2.7
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/—/15
draw 66%
Kalshi 54%
active 29d
8339
0xf532…8e68
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $579
tr/day 0.4
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 2d
−$2K ·7🔓
ROI -31%
Net -40%
bet $161
tr/day 0.5
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 57%
Kalshi 68%
active 34d
8341
0xa60f…70f0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $724
tr/day 0.8
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/—/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 18d
−$445 ·19🔓
ROI -7%
Net -19%
bet $192
tr/day 2.8
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/62/63
draw 68%
Kalshi 94%
active 19d
bet $128
tr/day 4.1
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/44/42
draw 76%
Kalshi 61%
active 22d
8344
0x1352…e45d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $652
tr/day 1.1
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 8%
Kalshi 84%
active 4d
+$267 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
8345
0xc941…296b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $6,065
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $282
tr/day 0.5
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/22
draw 25%
Kalshi 70%
active 26d
bet $123
tr/day 1.3
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all 97/94/87
draw 24%
Kalshi 35%
active 0d
+$996 ·1🔓
ROI +10%
Net -1%
8348
0x389b…e0a5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,905
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 94%
active 14d
bet $13
tr/day 0.4
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/69
draw 63%
Kalshi 42%
active 27d
bet $56
tr/day 1.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all 58/55/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
#8301
negative
crypto
#8302
negative
sports
#8303
negative
world
#8304
negative
sports
#8305
negative
world
#8306
negative
crypto
#8307
negative
sports
#8308
negative
world
#8309
negative
other
#8310
negative
other
#8311
negative
weather
#8312
negative
weather
#8313
negative
crypto
#8314
negative
other
#8315
negative
other
#8316
negative
other
#8317
negative
world
#8318
negative
weather
#8319
negative
crypto
#8320
—
negative
sports
#8321
negative
other
#8322
negative
world
#8323
negative
world
#8324
negative
crypto
#8325
negative
other
#8326
negative
world
#8327
negative
other
#8328
negative
other
#8329
negative
world
#8330
negative
world
#8331
negative
sports
#8332
negative
sports
#8333
negative
other
#8334
negative
other
#8335
negative
sports
#8336
other
#8337
negative
other
#8338
negative
other
#8339
thin data
politics
#8340
negative
sports
#8341
negative
other
#8342
negative
sports
#8343
negative
other
#8344
negative
crypto
#8345
negative
world
#8346
negative
politics
#8347
negative
other
#8348
negative
world
#8349
negative
other
#8350
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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