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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $241
tr/day 0.5
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 44/44/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $33
tr/day 0.7
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all 86/91/93
draw 19%
Kalshi 100%
active 3d
bet $132
tr/day 0.9
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/48/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
−$1K ·2🔓
ROI -10%
Net -18%
bet $480
tr/day 0.2
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 1d
bet $360
tr/day 0.2
WR 19%
WR 7/30/all —/0/19
draw 38%
Kalshi 75%
active 13d
bet $1,368
tr/day 2.6
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/—/21
draw 37%
Kalshi 67%
active 35d
8357
0x9df6…2c65
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $526
tr/day 0.3
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 6d
bet $103
tr/day 0.2
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/—/76
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 37d
bet $21
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $293
tr/day 0.7
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/100/88
draw 38%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $303
tr/day 0.8
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/100/84
draw 71%
Kalshi 88%
active 7d
bet $271
tr/day 0.8
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 16d
bet $140
tr/day 2.5
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 60/39/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
bet $216
tr/day 2.1
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/49/49
draw 35%
Kalshi 90%
active 12d
bet $373
tr/day 0.4
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 13%
Kalshi 71%
active 36d
8366
0x7a28…5b5e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $2,497
tr/day 0.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 40%
active 37d
bet $154
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 56%
active 2d
bet $27
tr/day 0.3
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/30
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 8d
+$53 ·2🔓
ROI +44%
Net +30%
bet $43
tr/day 2.4
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/46/51
draw 12%
Kalshi 100%
active 6d
bet $290
tr/day 3.1
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 83/94/99
draw 27%
Kalshi 72%
active 18d
+$1K ·10🔓
ROI +1%
Net -13%
bet $393
tr/day 0.4
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/94
draw 8%
Kalshi 62%
active 0d
+$109 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $359
tr/day 2.4
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/38/42
draw 52%
Kalshi 88%
active 1d
bet $135
tr/day 2.5
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/62/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 17d
bet $33
tr/day 0.2
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 91%
Kalshi 14%
active 32d
bet $20
tr/day 0.6
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 63%
active 24d
bet $445
tr/day 4.5
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/62/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 25d
bet $746
tr/day 2.5
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all —/—/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 29d
bet $112
tr/day 0.6
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/—/59
draw 12%
Kalshi 79%
active 14d
bet $71
tr/day 0.9
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/27/46
draw 52%
Kalshi 92%
active 25d
bet $352
tr/day 1.3
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/82/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 44%
active 0d
bet $113
tr/day 0.6
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/—/59
draw 1%
Kalshi 78%
active 37d
bet $145
tr/day 0.2
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 98%
Kalshi 83%
active 37d
bet $316
tr/day 2.7
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 33d
bet $118
tr/day 0.2
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 18%
Kalshi 65%
active 34d
8385
0xb23e…829a
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $506
tr/day 40.3
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 53/68/64
draw 18%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
+$16K ·44🔓
ROI +2%
Net -21%
bet $46
tr/day 0.7
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 25/45/53
draw 67%
Kalshi 96%
active 1d
bet $110
tr/day 0.8
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/0/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 4d
bet $647
tr/day 2.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$414 ·6🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $111
tr/day 1.2
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 25d
bet $177
tr/day 2.7
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/—/13
draw 100%
Kalshi 56%
active 30d
bet $44
tr/day 0.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 43/54/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $104
tr/day 7.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/97/98
draw 34%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $9
tr/day 2.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 56/51/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 40%
active 1d
bet $298
tr/day 0.3
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 22d
8398
0xbedb…f79b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $502
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 22d
bet $105
tr/day 0.4
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/100/95
draw 3%
Kalshi 98%
active 15d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
#8351
negative
crypto
#8352
negative
crypto
#8353
negative
sports
#8354
negative
crypto
#8355
negative
world
#8356
trap
other
#8357
negative
sports
#8358
negative
weather
#8359
negative
weather
#8360
negative
crypto
#8361
negative
crypto
#8362
world
#8363
negative
sports
#8364
negative
crypto
#8365
negative
world
#8366
other
#8367
negative
other
#8368
thin data
sports
#8369
negative
sports
#8370
negative
sports
#8371
negative
other
#8372
negative
sports
#8373
negative
crypto
#8374
other
#8375
negative
other
#8376
negative
sports
#8377
negative
other
#8378
negative
crypto
#8379
negative
sports
#8380
negative
other
#8381
negative
crypto
#8382
negative
sports
#8383
negative
other
#8384
negative
other
#8385
negative
other
#8386
negative
sports
#8387
negative
world
#8388
negative
crypto
#8389
negative
sports
#8390
negative
other
#8391
negative
sports
#8392
negative
weather
#8393
negative
weather
#8394
negative
weather
#8395
negative
crypto
#8396
negative
other
#8397
negative
other
#8398
negative
sports
#8399
negative
crypto
#8400
negative
weather
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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