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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $102
tr/day 1.9
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 40/39/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 0d
−$462 ·5🔓
ROI -16%
Net -24%
bet $49
tr/day 4.9
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 90/95/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $151
tr/day 1.2
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 60/61/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $387
tr/day 0.8
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/96
draw 0%
Kalshi 33%
active 0d
10805
0xe32d…9380
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $285
tr/day 12.0
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 67%
Kalshi 100%
active 22d
bet $107
tr/day 1.4
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/40/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 13d
bet $527
tr/day 3.1
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 12%
Kalshi 42%
active 16d
bet $112
tr/day 0.4
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/56/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
10809
0x67f5…f0be
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,255
tr/day 0.5
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
10810
0x88f6…5ee7
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $738
tr/day 0.7
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/92
draw 4%
Kalshi 99%
active 2d
bet $264
tr/day 0.3
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/83/62
draw 6%
Kalshi 94%
active 11d
+$934 ·12🔓
ROI +4%
Net -6%
bet $64
tr/day 2.2
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 53/58/58
draw 75%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $254
tr/day 1.4
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/25/31
draw 79%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $26
tr/day 4.2
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 25/45/47
draw 56%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $20
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $239
tr/day 0.2
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 39%
Kalshi 77%
active 15d
bet $20
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $35
tr/day 0.1
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/20/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 23d
bet $228
tr/day 0.4
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/50/87
draw 12%
Kalshi 41%
active 22d
bet $171
tr/day 0.9
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 54/64/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 65%
active 0d
bet $295
tr/day 0.8
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 10%
Kalshi 68%
active 23d
bet $341
tr/day 6.6
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 23/56/51
draw 9%
Kalshi 59%
active 0d
+$17K ·12🔓
ROI +3%
Net -11%
bet $164
tr/day 0.2
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 40/50/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $13
tr/day 0.3
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/40/14
draw 30%
Kalshi 52%
active 10d
bet $127
tr/day 2.8
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 38/66/61
draw 83%
Kalshi 52%
active 0d
bet $207
tr/day 0.6
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/33/54
draw 8%
Kalshi 92%
active 6d
bet $74
tr/day 1.5
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/50/53
draw 43%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $86
tr/day 1.0
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/100/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 56%
active 11d
bet $127
tr/day 0.4
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/—/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 1d
bet $102
tr/day 0.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 1d
10840
0xa285…0f24
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,273
tr/day 0.5
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/25/76
draw 14%
Kalshi 88%
active 23d
bet $131
tr/day 0.9
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 80/63/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
−$826 ·1🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
bet $322
tr/day 0.5
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/17/33
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 14d
bet $218
tr/day 2.3
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/—/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 18d
10844
0xb3cf…6207
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $830
tr/day 0.9
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 10%
Kalshi 62%
active 15d
+$15K ·2🔓
ROI -11%
Net -22%
10845
0xa12d…e4f4
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,561
tr/day 0.4
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/—/85
draw 1%
Kalshi 87%
active 23d
bet $269
tr/day 0.1
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/—/24
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 23d
−$262 ·1🔓
ROI -27%
Net -34%
bet $36
tr/day 0.4
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/87/85
draw 49%
Kalshi 94%
active 7d
bet $363
tr/day 0.6
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/12/14
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $123
tr/day 7.5
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/100/41
draw 18%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $37
tr/day 0.1
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 0%
Kalshi 50%
active 23d
#10801
negative
sports
#10802
negative
sports
#10803
negative
sports
#10804
negative
other
#10805
sports
#10806
negative
sports
#10807
negative
other
#10808
negative
crypto
#10809
negative
crypto
#10810
negative
crypto
#10811
negative
world
#10812
negative
sports
#10813
negative
sports
#10814
negative
sports
#10815
negative
weather
#10816
negative
weather
#10817
negative
weather
#10818
negative
weather
#10819
negative
weather
#10820
negative
weather
#10821
negative
weather
#10822
negative
weather
#10823
negative
weather
#10824
negative
weather
#10825
negative
economics
#10826
negative
weather
#10827
negative
politics
#10828
negative
other
#10829
negative
crypto
#10830
negative
other
#10831
negative
other
#10832
negative
sports
#10833
negative
other
#10834
negative
other
#10835
negative
world
#10836
negative
world
#10837
negative
other
#10838
negative
sports
#10839
negative
sports
#10840
negative
crypto
#10841
negative
sports
#10842
negative
world
#10843
negative
other
#10844
negative
sports
#10845
negative
crypto
#10846
negative
crypto
#10847
negative
crypto
#10848
negative
world
#10849
negative
crypto
#10850
negative
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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