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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $109
tr/day 0.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/50/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 25d
bet $177
tr/day 0.2
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 40/40/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 1d
bet $22
tr/day 0.1
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 15%
Kalshi 94%
active 27d
bet $30
tr/day 1.5
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/42/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $104
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 26d
bet $369
tr/day 0.3
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/40/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
11607
0xe0dc…1904
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $633
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 27d
bet $161
tr/day 0.2
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/33/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 10d
bet $260
tr/day 0.5
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all —/—/28
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
−$66 ·1🔓
ROI -18%
Net -26%
bet $18
tr/day 0.3
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 8%
Kalshi 57%
active 22d
bet $172
tr/day 0.8
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all 100/95/93
draw 8%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$170 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -11%
bet $119
tr/day 0.7
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/95/94
draw 87%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
11613
0x0d3d…1e79
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,498
tr/day 0.6
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/80/83
draw 4%
Kalshi 85%
active 27d
bet $133
tr/day 2.5
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/42/33
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 25d
bet $177
tr/day 0.2
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/38/44
draw 52%
Kalshi 77%
active 6d
bet $21
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 8%
Kalshi 87%
active 26d
bet $30
tr/day 0.1
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 7%
Kalshi 80%
active 26d
bet $117
tr/day 0.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 27d
bet $20
tr/day 0.1
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/—/85
draw 21%
Kalshi 81%
active 27d
bet $158
tr/day 0.7
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/80/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 61%
active 23d
bet $112
tr/day 0.1
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/—/82
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 27d
bet $120
tr/day 0.1
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/—/84
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 27d
bet $77
tr/day 1.8
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/45/54
draw 98%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
bet $196
tr/day 0.3
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/—/23
draw 30%
Kalshi 53%
active 4d
+$971 ·4🔓
ROI -44%
Net -50%
bet $19
tr/day 0.1
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/—/83
draw 39%
Kalshi 83%
active 27d
bet $18
tr/day 0.1
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/—/85
draw 35%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
bet $22
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 57%
Kalshi 77%
active 27d
bet $22
tr/day 0.1
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 10%
Kalshi 93%
active 26d
bet $25
tr/day 0.1
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/86
draw 4%
Kalshi 93%
active 26d
bet $134
tr/day 0.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 26d
bet $118
tr/day 0.1
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/—/82
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 27d
bet $112
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 27d
bet $22
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 98%
Kalshi 86%
active 27d
bet $124
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 27d
bet $18
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 19%
Kalshi 81%
active 26d
bet $21
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 34%
Kalshi 88%
active 26d
bet $216
tr/day 0.2
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/65
draw 4%
Kalshi 59%
active 27d
bet $18
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 10%
Kalshi 89%
active 27d
bet $117
tr/day 0.1
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/—/82
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 26d
bet $27
tr/day 0.1
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/86
draw 38%
Kalshi 86%
active 27d
bet $122
tr/day 0.1
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/—/83
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 27d
bet $19
tr/day 0.1
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 19%
Kalshi 81%
active 26d
bet $120
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 26d
bet $26
tr/day 0.1
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/—/85
draw 8%
Kalshi 89%
active 26d
bet $121
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 26d
bet $131
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 27d
bet $134
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 26d
bet $116
tr/day 0.1
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/—/83
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 27d
bet $133
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 26d
bet $113
tr/day 0.1
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/—/85
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 27d
#11601
negative
sports
#11602
negative
crypto
#11603
negative
crypto
#11604
negative
sports
#11605
negative
crypto
#11606
negative
world
#11607
negative
politics
#11608
negative
crypto
#11609
negative
world
#11610
negative
other
#11611
negative
crypto
#11612
negative
crypto
#11613
negative
crypto
#11614
negative
sports
#11615
negative
crypto
#11616
negative
crypto
#11617
negative
crypto
#11618
negative
crypto
#11619
negative
crypto
#11620
negative
other
#11621
negative
crypto
#11622
negative
crypto
#11623
negative
crypto
#11624
negative
other
#11625
negative
crypto
#11626
negative
crypto
#11627
negative
crypto
#11628
negative
crypto
#11629
negative
crypto
#11630
negative
crypto
#11631
negative
crypto
#11632
negative
crypto
#11633
negative
crypto
#11634
negative
crypto
#11635
negative
crypto
#11636
negative
crypto
#11637
negative
other
#11638
negative
crypto
#11639
negative
crypto
#11640
negative
crypto
#11641
negative
crypto
#11642
negative
crypto
#11643
negative
crypto
#11644
negative
crypto
#11645
negative
crypto
#11646
negative
crypto
#11647
negative
crypto
#11648
negative
crypto
#11649
negative
crypto
#11650
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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