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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $127
tr/day 0.2
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 27d
bet $121
tr/day 0.1
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/80
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 26d
bet $134
tr/day 0.1
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 27d
11654
0xbacd…18c2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $535
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 38%
active 27d
bet $26
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 16%
Kalshi 83%
active 26d
bet $124
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 27d
bet $17
tr/day 0.1
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/—/84
draw 24%
Kalshi 88%
active 27d
bet $63
tr/day 6.8
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 44/56/56
draw 43%
Kalshi 100%
active 5d
bet $28
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 18%
Kalshi 87%
active 26d
bet $19
tr/day 0.1
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/—/85
draw 52%
Kalshi 85%
active 26d
bet $66
tr/day 1.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/60/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
bet $120
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 26d
bet $487
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 81%
active 27d
bet $34
tr/day 0.2
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/100/72
draw 25%
Kalshi 72%
active 5d
11665
0x27e6…7edc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $648
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 75%
active 27d
11666
0x2a9b…d916
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $684
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 69%
active 27d
bet $18
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 24%
Kalshi 87%
active 26d
11668
0xca35…766c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $709
tr/day 0.2
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all 78/88/75
draw 28%
Kalshi 56%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
bet $107
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 27d
11671
0x7e22…4b5d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche weather
bet $1,112
tr/day 1.6
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/100/93
draw 10%
Kalshi 86%
active 5d
bet $473
tr/day 0.4
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 4%
Kalshi 68%
active 4d
11673
0x2bff…4b1f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,505
tr/day 0.5
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/80/86
draw 2%
Kalshi 89%
active 27d
bet $148
tr/day 0.1
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/—/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 25d
bet $23
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 29%
Kalshi 87%
active 27d
11676
0xa01b…bc1d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $518
tr/day 0.6
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/71/64
draw 92%
Kalshi 58%
active 1d
11677
0x4625…3daf
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $626
tr/day 0.2
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all 100/72/78
draw 4%
Kalshi 45%
active 2d
bet $112
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 27d
bet $24
tr/day 0.1
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/—/84
draw 11%
Kalshi 78%
active 26d
bet $132
tr/day 0.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 26d
11681
0x6b6a…b9a8
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,950
tr/day 1.4
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/46/43
draw 47%
Kalshi 93%
active 12d
bet $78
tr/day 1.3
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/88/61
draw 71%
Kalshi 100%
active 6d
bet $453
tr/day 0.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
−$11K ·4🔓
ROI -18%
Net -26%
bet $43
tr/day 0.8
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 38/47/61
draw 49%
Kalshi 55%
active 0d
bet $92
tr/day 0.1
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 1%
Kalshi 70%
active 27d
bet $101
tr/day 3.0
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/99
draw 2%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $96
tr/day 3.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/94/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $131
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 26d
bet $105
tr/day 3.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/98
draw 2%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $43
tr/day 2.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/73/73
draw 96%
Kalshi 97%
active 10d
bet $356
tr/day 0.1
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 42%
Kalshi 74%
active 27d
bet $4
tr/day 3.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/49/56
draw 90%
Kalshi 87%
active 26d
bet $200
tr/day 0.7
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/93
draw 72%
Kalshi 80%
active 4d
bet $23
tr/day 0.1
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/86
draw 16%
Kalshi 93%
active 26d
11695
0x5690…82e7
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $531
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 67%
active 27d
bet $397
tr/day 0.1
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/80
draw 85%
Kalshi 50%
active 27d
11697
0x32f0…8503
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $530
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 57%
active 27d
bet $141
tr/day 7.0
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/67/54
draw 55%
Kalshi 81%
active 27d
11699
0x5938…9465
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $571
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 45%
active 27d
11700
0x979b…23a2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,850
tr/day 1.5
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 3%
Kalshi 86%
active 4d
#11651
negative
crypto
#11652
negative
crypto
#11653
negative
crypto
#11654
negative
other
#11655
negative
crypto
#11656
negative
crypto
#11657
negative
crypto
#11658
negative
crypto
#11659
negative
crypto
#11660
negative
crypto
#11661
negative
sports
#11662
negative
crypto
#11663
negative
crypto
#11664
negative
crypto
#11665
negative
sports
#11666
negative
sports
#11667
negative
crypto
#11668
negative
other
#11669
negative
weather
#11670
negative
crypto
#11671
negative
weather
#11672
negative
other
#11673
negative
crypto
#11674
negative
sports
#11675
negative
crypto
#11676
trap
other
#11677
negative
other
#11678
negative
crypto
#11679
negative
crypto
#11680
negative
crypto
#11681
negative
world
#11682
negative
crypto
#11683
negative
crypto
#11684
negative
sports
#11685
negative
crypto
#11686
negative
crypto
#11687
negative
crypto
#11688
negative
crypto
#11689
negative
crypto
#11690
negative
sports
#11691
negative
politics
#11692
negative
sports
#11693
negative
weather
#11694
negative
crypto
#11695
negative
other
#11696
negative
other
#11697
negative
other
#11698
negative
sports
#11699
negative
other
#11700
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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