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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $222
tr/day 1.5
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/54/69
draw 28%
Kalshi 58%
active 2d
bet $118
tr/day 0.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 10%
Kalshi 91%
active 24d
bet $118
tr/day 0.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 9%
Kalshi 91%
active 24d
bet $118
tr/day 0.6
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/—/66
draw 9%
Kalshi 91%
active 24d
bet $117
tr/day 0.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 9%
Kalshi 91%
active 24d
bet $117
tr/day 0.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 10%
Kalshi 90%
active 24d
bet $20
tr/day 0.5
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 29%
Kalshi 83%
active 9d
bet $320
tr/day 4.8
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 75/62/62
draw 55%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $23
tr/day 2.5
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 44%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $40
tr/day 1.2
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/—/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 8d
bet $107
tr/day 0.6
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/94/93
draw 69%
Kalshi 85%
active 10d
bet $565
tr/day 2.6
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/83/88
draw 5%
Kalshi 91%
active 7d
+$109 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $176
tr/day 0.3
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 29%
active 5d
−$10 ·1🔓
ROI -26%
Net -33%
bet $215
tr/day 0.9
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/—/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 5d
bet $332
tr/day 0.4
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 2%
Kalshi 100%
active 18d
bet $48
tr/day 0.8
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all 80/88/83
draw 37%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $300
tr/day 0.4
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 1%
Kalshi 100%
active 18d
bet $15
tr/day 0.4
WR 34%
WR 7/30/all —/—/34
draw 68%
Kalshi 62%
active 25d
bet $81
tr/day 0.7
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 67/54/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $140
tr/day 0.2
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all 71/86/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
bet $387
tr/day 1.4
WR 7%
WR 7/30/all —/—/7
draw 14%
Kalshi 76%
active 10d
bet $181
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 28d
bet $54
tr/day 1.8
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 62/62/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12024
0xbc5b…5100
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $662
tr/day 0.5
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 54%
active 4d
12025
0x9955…24f0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $631
tr/day 0.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 38%
Kalshi 97%
active 11d
12026
0x4d48…d9c4
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $621
tr/day 0.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 19%
Kalshi 97%
active 11d
bet $432
tr/day 0.4
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 70%
Kalshi 73%
active 21d
bet $83
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $63
tr/day 2.5
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/24/42
draw 46%
Kalshi 56%
active 3d
12030
0xf7cd…2674
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,900
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 58/58/62
draw 4%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$61K ·1🔓
ROI +10%
Net -10%
bet $56
tr/day 1.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/67/53
draw 4%
Kalshi 100%
active 21d
12032
0xd7c3…c034
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,303
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
+$287 ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
bet $30
tr/day 1.5
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 9d
bet $993
tr/day 7.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 97/98/98
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $202
tr/day 6.3
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/60/72
draw 8%
Kalshi 73%
active 1d
12036
0x411b…5e9f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $615
tr/day 0.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 28d
12037
0xc4b6…41a7
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $586
tr/day 1.5
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 25d
−$9K ·5🔓
ROI -11%
Net -23%
bet $223
tr/day 6.6
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 47/42/42
draw 56%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $2,204
tr/day 6.5
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/78/71
draw 21%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
+$88K ·54🔓
ROI +7%
Net -16%
bet $256
tr/day 0.4
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/53/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
−$217 ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -15%
12041
0xc85b…ba1b
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $36
tr/day 18.0
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all 83/81/79
draw 27%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$1K ·20🔓
ROI +7%
Net -11%
bet $33
tr/day 1.6
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all 31/39/44
draw 74%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $5
tr/day 0.4
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 8d
12044
0x34e3…524a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $517
tr/day 0.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 7d
12045
0x2760…03f3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $761
tr/day 1.5
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/78/57
draw 84%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $391
tr/day 2.8
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/56/46
draw 63%
Kalshi 97%
active 6d
bet $7,746
tr/day 5.3
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 22%
Kalshi 100%
active 6d
12048
0x620c…6967
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $76
tr/day 29.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 12%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
+$157 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -23%
bet $6
tr/day 0.5
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 77%
active 1d
bet $436
tr/day 0.3
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 62/55/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
#12001
negative
other
#12002
negative
crypto
#12003
negative
crypto
#12004
negative
crypto
#12005
negative
crypto
#12006
negative
crypto
#12007
negative
sports
#12008
negative
sports
#12009
negative
weather
#12010
negative
sports
#12011
negative
weather
#12012
negative
crypto
#12013
negative
other
#12014
negative
sports
#12015
negative
crypto
#12016
negative
sports
#12017
negative
crypto
#12018
negative
sports
#12019
negative
sports
#12020
negative
weather
#12021
negative
other
#12022
tech
#12023
negative
crypto
#12024
—
edge dead
other
#12025
negative
crypto
#12026
negative
crypto
#12027
negative
other
#12028
negative
crypto
#12029
negative
sports
#12030
negative
crypto
#12031
negative
crypto
#12032
negative
world
#12033
negative
politics
#12034
negative
crypto
#12035
negative
world
#12036
negative
other
#12037
negative
sports
#12038
negative
sports
#12039
negative
politics
#12040
negative
crypto
#12041
negative
weather
#12042
negative
crypto
#12043
negative
other
#12044
negative
politics
#12045
negative
crypto
#12046
negative
sports
#12047
world
#12048
negative
weather
#12049
negative
tech
#12050
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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