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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $329
tr/day 0.7
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/30/52
draw 15%
Kalshi 74%
active 5d
bet $389
tr/day 0.3
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/29
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 13d
bet $418
tr/day 0.4
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/41
draw 96%
Kalshi 88%
active 12d
bet $116
tr/day 0.1
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 40%
active 12d
12055
0x14a9…98b0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $542
tr/day 0.7
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/56/81
draw 27%
Kalshi 95%
active 8d
bet $116
tr/day 1.8
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/49/59
draw 53%
Kalshi 26%
active 12d
bet $176
tr/day 0.6
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/100/84
draw 11%
Kalshi 32%
active 1d
+$80 ·1🔓
ROI -11%
Net -20%
bet $368
tr/day 0.0
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/—/74
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 13d
bet $372
tr/day 0.2
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 0%
Kalshi 79%
active 3d
12060
0xcf73…7d25
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,473
tr/day 0.6
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/100/85
draw 1%
Kalshi 90%
active 13d
12061
0x51e8…d101
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $714
tr/day 0.1
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 12d
12062
0x2e9d…e9f4
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $362
tr/day 39.2
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 1%
Kalshi 100%
active 9d
12063
0x16b1…a61a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche tech
bet $1,054
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
bet $27
tr/day 1.2
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all 71/85/77
draw 48%
Kalshi 88%
active 1d
bet $307
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 74%
active 13d
bet $206
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 63%
active 13d
bet $131
tr/day 0.6
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 13d
bet $146
tr/day 0.9
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 84%
Kalshi 41%
active 13d
+$387 ·3🔓
ROI -27%
Net -34%
12069
0x14fa…f45c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,366
tr/day 0.2
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/100/92
draw 8%
Kalshi 65%
active 13d
bet $229
tr/day 1.4
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/38/38
draw 62%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
+$50 ·1🔓
ROI -20%
Net -28%
bet $135
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/47/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
12072
0xeda2…802b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $806
tr/day 0.5
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 13%
Kalshi 85%
active 13d
+$236 ·2🔓
ROI +2%
Net -12%
bet $164
tr/day 0.1
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 9%
Kalshi 83%
active 13d
12074
0xc01d…6128
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,555
tr/day 0.2
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 22%
Kalshi 85%
active 1d
bet $114
tr/day 1.9
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all 50/38/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$188 ·1🔓
ROI -16%
Net -24%
12076
0xec13…689a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $874
tr/day 0.1
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/22
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 13d
bet $160
tr/day 0.1
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 46%
Kalshi 74%
active 13d
bet $1,239
tr/day 2.7
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all 100/95/95
draw 2%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$211 ·1🔓
ROI -4%
Net -17%
bet $453
tr/day 0.2
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 6d
bet $132
tr/day 0.2
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 17%
Kalshi 58%
active 13d
bet $15
tr/day 1.4
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/74/58
draw 5%
Kalshi 64%
active 2d
+$920 ·2🔓
ROI +59%
Net +43%
bet $21
tr/day 1.7
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/47/63
draw 33%
Kalshi 47%
active 2d
+$263 ·15🔓
ROI +1%
Net -9%
bet $459
tr/day 0.1
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 1%
Kalshi 92%
active 13d
bet $19
tr/day 0.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/80/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 13d
12085
0x7285…7261
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $805
tr/day 1.6
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/100/92
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 7d
bet $191
tr/day 0.7
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/53/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 3d
bet $140
tr/day 0.1
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/80/61
draw 51%
Kalshi 37%
active 8d
bet $114
tr/day 2.8
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/62/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 13d
bet $186
tr/day 0.6
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/43/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 3d
−$349 ·3🔓
ROI +10%
Net -0%
12090
0x431d…8fde
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $817
tr/day 1.7
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 69/62/62
draw 44%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
12091
0x3d1a…ebce
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $769
tr/day 1.0
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/44/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 13d
bet $17
tr/day 0.3
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/40/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 13d
bet $284
tr/day 1.3
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/57/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 1d
−$9K ·3🔓
ROI -13%
Net -21%
bet $43
tr/day 0.3
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 38%
Kalshi 18%
active 8d
bet $380
tr/day 1.9
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 93/72/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
bet $273
tr/day 2.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
bet $116
tr/day 0.9
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/75/52
draw 54%
Kalshi 65%
active 8d
+$421 ·12🔓
ROI +3%
Net -7%
12098
0x6cd8…d98d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $5,769
tr/day 0.9
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/80/64
draw 0%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
+$32K ·1🔓
ROI -12%
Net -28%
bet $134
tr/day 1.0
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/39
draw 59%
Kalshi 73%
active 13d
12100
0x3c41…a214
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $187
tr/day 8.8
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/40/72
draw 57%
Kalshi 77%
active 8d
#12051
negative
world
#12052
negative
world
#12053
negative
world
#12054
other
#12055
negative
crypto
#12056
negative
other
#12057
negative
other
#12058
negative
other
#12059
negative
crypto
#12060
negative
crypto
#12061
negative
politics
#12062
negative
weather
#12063
negative
tech
#12064
negative
sports
#12065
negative
crypto
#12066
negative
other
#12067
sports
#12068
negative
other
#12069
negative
crypto
#12070
negative
crypto
#12071
negative
sports
#12072
negative
crypto
#12073
negative
crypto
#12074
negative
crypto
#12075
negative
sports
#12076
negative
politics
#12077
negative
other
#12078
negative
crypto
#12079
negative
other
#12080
negative
other
#12081
one-bet luck
other
#12082
negative
other
#12083
negative
sports
#12084
negative
sports
#12085
negative
crypto
#12086
negative
sports
#12087
negative
other
#12088
negative
crypto
#12089
negative
sports
#12090
negative
sports
#12091
negative
sports
#12092
negative
sports
#12093
negative
sports
#12094
negative
other
#12095
negative
sports
#12096
negative
weather
#12097
negative
other
#12098
negative
world
#12099
negative
crypto
#12100
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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