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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $179
tr/day 0.1
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/0/22
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 26d
bet $243
tr/day 7.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/50/50
draw 45%
Kalshi 100%
active 25d
bet $118
tr/day 4.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/47/47
draw 74%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
11954
0x47f8…8ea6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $766
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 7d
bet $264
tr/day 1.3
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/100/95
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
11956
0xf4c5…c8c1
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $203
tr/day 23.1
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 65/53/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
+$408 ·5🔓
ROI +3%
Net -21%
bet $460
tr/day 3.5
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all 43/55/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
+$480 ·4🔓
ROI -2%
Net -15%
11958
0x2d81…fe57
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche culture
bet $147
tr/day 26.8
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 50/55/59
draw 17%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
+$7K ·29🔓
ROI +5%
Net -19%
bet $12
tr/day 2.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 1d
bet $276
tr/day 0.9
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/90
draw 2%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
+$192 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $13
tr/day 5.3
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all 40/42/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $52
tr/day 3.8
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/31/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $642
tr/day 6.8
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/38/38
draw 22%
Kalshi 100%
active 25d
bet $36
tr/day 0.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 87%
Kalshi 89%
active 28d
bet $20
tr/day 3.3
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 50/55/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $13
tr/day 2.9
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 17/55/45
draw 98%
Kalshi 78%
active 1d
bet $203
tr/day 0.6
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 14d
bet $541
tr/day 2.2
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/30/46
draw 37%
Kalshi 96%
active 5d
bet $158
tr/day 0.2
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 2%
Kalshi 70%
active 5d
11970
0x234d…099e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $843
tr/day 0.0
WR 5%
WR 7/30/all —/—/5
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 28d
bet $277
tr/day 0.3
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 28d
bet $122
tr/day 0.2
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 11%
Kalshi 84%
active 1d
+$86 ·1🔓
ROI -17%
Net -25%
11973
0xb7e4…1e2f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $762
tr/day 1.4
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/100/89
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
11974
0xd261…9205
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,363
tr/day 0.6
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/71/82
draw 6%
Kalshi 85%
active 28d
bet $135
tr/day 1.3
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/64/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 12d
bet $52
tr/day 2.0
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/50/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
11977
0xef97…0998
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $4,022
tr/day 1.0
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 3%
Kalshi 100%
active 24d
bet $252
tr/day 0.5
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 69%
Kalshi 66%
active 11d
bet $285
tr/day 0.5
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/0/40
draw 19%
Kalshi 80%
active 7d
bet $123
tr/day 0.8
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/88/71
draw 55%
Kalshi 76%
active 2d
+$326 ·7🔓
ROI +10%
Net -0%
bet $106
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 17d
bet $121
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 17d
11983
0x7d64…a5e5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $673
tr/day 0.9
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 2%
Kalshi 69%
active 21d
bet $125
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 17d
bet $251
tr/day 0.5
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/99
draw 2%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $52
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 48%
active 11d
bet $110
tr/day 0.3
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 23%
Kalshi 100%
active 5d
bet $74
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
bet $149
tr/day 2.6
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 41/41/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
−$470 ·2🔓
ROI -13%
Net -22%
bet $205
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $124
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 17d
bet $122
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
bet $116
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
bet $122
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
bet $233
tr/day 0.4
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 28d
11996
0x93b7…7d51
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $1,207
tr/day 14.9
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/58/64
draw 29%
Kalshi 14%
active 0d
+$31K ·4🔓
ROI +10%
Net -12%
bet $158
tr/day 0.3
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 65%
active 28d
11998
0xfdf1…7195
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $383
tr/day 8.7
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/83/82
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 3d
bet $118
tr/day 0.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 28d
−$369 ·1🔓
ROI -19%
Net -27%
bet $400
tr/day 0.3
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/100/85
draw 29%
Kalshi 72%
active 2d
#11951
negative
sports
#11952
negative
sports
#11953
negative
sports
#11954
politics
#11955
negative
crypto
#11956
negative
sports
#11957
negative
sports
#11958
negative
culture
#11959
negative
sports
#11960
negative
crypto
#11961
negative
other
#11962
negative
crypto
#11963
negative
sports
#11964
negative
sports
#11965
negative
sports
#11966
negative
crypto
#11967
negative
world
#11968
negative
sports
#11969
negative
other
#11970
negative
politics
#11971
negative
sports
#11972
negative
world
#11973
negative
crypto
#11974
negative
crypto
#11975
negative
crypto
#11976
negative
crypto
#11977
crypto
#11978
negative
other
#11979
negative
world
#11980
negative
politics
#11981
negative
crypto
#11982
negative
crypto
#11983
negative
other
#11984
negative
crypto
#11985
negative
crypto
#11986
negative
other
#11987
negative
crypto
#11988
negative
crypto
#11989
negative
sports
#11990
negative
crypto
#11991
negative
crypto
#11992
negative
crypto
#11993
negative
crypto
#11994
negative
crypto
#11995
negative
sports
#11996
negative
other
#11997
negative
sports
#11998
negative
crypto
#11999
negative
other
#12000
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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