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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $19
tr/day 1.8
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 83/80/71
draw 47%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $155
tr/day 3.6
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/22/21
draw 17%
Kalshi 92%
active 2d
bet $6
tr/day 0.5
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/96/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
bet $329
tr/day 0.7
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/—/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 3d
bet $237
tr/day 2.5
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/83/57
draw 31%
Kalshi 87%
active 7d
bet $197
tr/day 0.4
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/25/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 2d
12907
0x2e16…1a2a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $805
tr/day 0.0
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 12d
bet $258
tr/day 0.4
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/39
draw 56%
Kalshi 89%
active 15d
bet $31
tr/day 2.0
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/66/57
draw 93%
Kalshi 97%
active 10d
12910
0x8f45…88a1
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $601
tr/day 0.0
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/88/88
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $97
tr/day 3.6
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 86/97/98
draw 10%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $311
tr/day 0.8
WR 19%
WR 7/30/all —/—/19
draw 25%
Kalshi 69%
active 15d
bet $115
tr/day 1.8
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/55/55
draw 49%
Kalshi 58%
active 2d
+$911 ·2🔓
ROI -7%
Net -16%
12914
0x115e…0016
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $631
tr/day 0.4
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/88
draw 11%
Kalshi 19%
active 0d
+$446 ·10🔓
ROI -5%
Net -18%
bet $438
tr/day 0.2
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/100/57
draw 16%
Kalshi 86%
active 15d
+$321 ·5🔓
ROI -11%
Net -20%
bet $41
tr/day 1.9
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 71/58/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
+$174 ·11🔓
ROI +5%
Net -5%
bet $229
tr/day 0.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 82%
active 3d
bet $210
tr/day 0.2
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 67/64/62
draw 84%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
12919
0x0285…96b9
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $526
tr/day 0.3
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/—/31
draw 66%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
+$100 ·4🔓
ROI -19%
Net -29%
bet $121
tr/day 2.5
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 26/25/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
−$411 ·1🔓
ROI -10%
Net -18%
bet $341
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 65%
active 15d
bet $437
tr/day 0.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 15d
12923
0x926f…4bca
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $104
tr/day 43.2
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 97/97/97
draw 24%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$220 ·17🔓
ROI +1%
Net -22%
12924
0xe1cf…9ab4
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $86
tr/day 8.9
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 41/56/56
draw 43%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
12925
0x3f81…fc4a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $572
tr/day 0.2
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/17/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
+$243 ·4🔓
ROI -6%
Net -18%
bet $112
tr/day 7.8
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 57/47/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $379
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 90%
active 15d
bet $389
tr/day 0.4
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 90%
active 15d
12929
0x89fb…66ee
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $6
tr/day 19.4
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 54/54/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$393 ·1🔓
ROI +2%
Net -15%
bet $223
tr/day 1.7
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all 35/36/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
−$594 ·5🔓
ROI -10%
Net -19%
bet $261
tr/day 0.5
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all —/—/28
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 15d
bet $19
tr/day 0.1
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 9%
Kalshi 82%
active 15d
bet $146
tr/day 0.6
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/92/88
draw 42%
Kalshi 82%
active 0d
bet $193
tr/day 0.1
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/20
draw 30%
Kalshi 83%
active 12d
bet $174
tr/day 0.3
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 0%
Kalshi 63%
active 15d
bet $72
tr/day 0.3
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/100/71
draw 6%
Kalshi 52%
active 3d
bet $6
tr/day 0.4
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $98
tr/day 0.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 59%
Kalshi 80%
active 15d
bet $292
tr/day 0.4
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/—/31
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 5d
bet $104
tr/day 0.1
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 15d
−$393 ·1🔓
ROI -13%
Net -22%
bet $138
tr/day 0.2
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 15d
12942
0xc978…2d5e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $606
tr/day 0.3
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/71/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 10d
12943
0x1e70…2e2d
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $8
tr/day 24.2
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 59/63/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 1d
bet $50
tr/day 0.1
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 34%
Kalshi 26%
active 0d
bet $192
tr/day 0.1
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/0/27
draw 31%
Kalshi 73%
active 12d
bet $179
tr/day 0.1
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/—/24
draw 61%
Kalshi 79%
active 12d
bet $72
tr/day 2.2
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 33/57/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $81
tr/day 0.2
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 15%
Kalshi 96%
active 3d
bet $783
tr/day 4.2
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/60/55
draw 71%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
+$24K ·2🔓
ROI +6%
Net -11%
12950
0xd0b1…33b2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $3,020
tr/day 0.1
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/100/64
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$106 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -18%
#12901
negative
weather
#12902
one-bet luck
sports
#12903
negative
tech
#12904
negative
world
#12905
negative
crypto
#12906
negative
world
#12907
negative
crypto
#12908
negative
world
#12909
negative
crypto
#12910
negative
crypto
#12911
negative
crypto
#12912
negative
world
#12913
negative
sports
#12914
negative
other
#12915
negative
crypto
#12916
negative
other
#12917
negative
crypto
#12918
negative
sports
#12919
negative
world
#12920
negative
sports
#12921
negative
other
#12922
negative
politics
#12923
negative
weather
#12924
negative
sports
#12925
negative
sports
#12926
negative
sports
#12927
negative
weather
#12928
negative
weather
#12929
negative
crypto
#12930
negative
crypto
#12931
negative
world
#12932
negative
crypto
#12933
negative
crypto
#12934
negative
sports
#12935
negative
crypto
#12936
negative
other
#12937
negative
other
#12938
negative
sports
#12939
negative
other
#12940
negative
sports
#12941
negative
sports
#12942
negative
sports
#12943
negative
sports
#12944
negative
other
#12945
negative
sports
#12946
negative
sports
#12947
negative
crypto
#12948
negative
crypto
#12949
negative
sports
#12950
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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