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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $218
tr/day 1.3
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/0/44
draw 28%
Kalshi 64%
active 14d
bet $52
tr/day 0.1
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/52
draw 27%
Kalshi 41%
active 15d
+$182 ·5🔓
ROI +10%
Net -0%
bet $193
tr/day 7.6
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 54/49/52
draw 41%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
+$12K ·12🔓
ROI +8%
Net -6%
bet $237
tr/day 0.8
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 61%
active 0d
bet $138
tr/day 0.1
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/71/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 15d
bet $44
tr/day 1.0
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/70/66
draw 85%
Kalshi 72%
active 10d
bet $163
tr/day 2.7
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/53/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 40%
active 0d
12958
0x6b91…0a35
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $23
tr/day 10.5
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all 96/77/75
draw 45%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $214
tr/day 7.1
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/59/52
draw 46%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
bet $385
tr/day 0.6
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/68/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $27
tr/day 0.8
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 26%
Kalshi 81%
active 9d
bet $17
tr/day 0.1
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 11%
Kalshi 68%
active 15d
bet $47
tr/day 0.1
WR 32%
WR 7/30/all 20/56/32
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $216
tr/day 0.4
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 48/52/48
draw 82%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
+$4K ·1🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $5
tr/day 5.4
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 55/60/65
draw 43%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
12966
0xdfff…b499
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $2,065
tr/day 0.2
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 1%
Kalshi 50%
active 15d
bet $156
tr/day 0.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 59%
active 7d
bet $295
tr/day 0.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 5%
Kalshi 75%
active 15d
12969
0x0957…3b79
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,341
tr/day 0.2
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/94
draw 11%
Kalshi 94%
active 1d
12970
0x2a26…3fb0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $918
tr/day 0.1
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 3%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
+$14 ·13🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $75
tr/day 0.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/100/71
draw 52%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
bet $23
tr/day 4.4
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all 79/78/73
draw 84%
Kalshi 38%
active 0d
bet $271
tr/day 0.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/80/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
−$1K ·1🔓
ROI -10%
Net -18%
12974
0x8333…ef3e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,313
tr/day 0.8
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/80/73
draw 7%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
12975
0x01e1…124a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $662
tr/day 1.3
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 51%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $11
tr/day 2.1
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/30/30
draw 27%
Kalshi 77%
active 15d
bet $282
tr/day 0.9
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/40/27
draw 15%
Kalshi 80%
active 14d
12978
0xc579…68ae
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $562
tr/day 1.3
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/95/90
draw 31%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $128
tr/day 0.5
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 15d
bet $423
tr/day 0.1
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 67/70/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 63%
active 1d
bet $30
tr/day 7.5
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/66/66
draw 84%
Kalshi 100%
active 12d
bet $250
tr/day 0.2
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 82%
Kalshi 87%
active 15d
12983
0x3f08…2468
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,583
tr/day 0.3
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 40%
Kalshi 93%
active 14d
bet $323
tr/day 0.5
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/100/75
draw 78%
Kalshi 67%
active 15d
bet $322
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 89%
active 15d
bet $88
tr/day 0.1
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 22%
Kalshi 96%
active 4d
bet $271
tr/day 0.0
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $203
tr/day 0.7
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/96
draw 14%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
+$646 ·22🔓
ROI +1%
Net -8%
12989
0xf84e…0f39
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,184
tr/day 0.2
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/40/81
draw 1%
Kalshi 93%
active 4d
bet $163
tr/day 0.1
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 77%
Kalshi 74%
active 15d
bet $266
tr/day 0.6
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 37%
Kalshi 75%
active 15d
bet $89
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 44%
active 11d
12993
0x6412…71c5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $504
tr/day 1.5
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 60/44/47
draw 41%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
+$3K ·2🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $197
tr/day 0.1
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 47%
Kalshi 82%
active 6d
bet $177
tr/day 0.1
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 20%
Kalshi 73%
active 2d
bet $179
tr/day 0.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $168
tr/day 0.8
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all 100/94/95
draw 10%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $283
tr/day 0.2
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 15d
bet $109
tr/day 0.2
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/60/48
draw 76%
Kalshi 74%
active 13d
bet $35
tr/day 0.5
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/62/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 12d
#12951
negative
sports
#12952
negative
other
#12953
negative
sports
#12954
negative
other
#12955
negative
other
#12956
negative
sports
#12957
negative
other
#12958
negative
weather
#12959
negative
finance
#12960
negative
sports
#12961
trap
world
#12962
negative
other
#12963
negative
sports
#12964
negative
crypto
#12965
negative
crypto
#12966
negative
other
#12967
negative
other
#12968
negative
world
#12969
negative
crypto
#12970
negative
crypto
#12971
negative
crypto
#12972
negative
other
#12973
negative
sports
#12974
negative
world
#12975
sports
#12976
thin data
other
#12977
negative
world
#12978
negative
crypto
#12979
negative
world
#12980
negative
sports
#12981
negative
sports
#12982
negative
sports
#12983
negative
crypto
#12984
negative
world
#12985
negative
crypto
#12986
negative
crypto
#12987
—
politics
#12988
negative
weather
#12989
negative
crypto
#12990
negative
crypto
#12991
negative
world
#12992
negative
other
#12993
negative
sports
#12994
negative
crypto
#12995
negative
other
#12996
negative
crypto
#12997
negative
tech
#12998
negative
weather
#12999
negative
crypto
#13000
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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