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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $125
tr/day 0.2
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 15d
bet $76
tr/day 1.5
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all 57/75/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
+$188 ·1🔓
ROI -2%
Net -12%
bet $203
tr/day 1.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 37/51/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $78
tr/day 0.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 15d
bet $38
tr/day 1.1
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all 79/86/80
draw 100%
Kalshi 46%
active 1d
bet $38
tr/day 1.4
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/67/67
draw 54%
Kalshi 92%
active 7d
bet $174
tr/day 0.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/28/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $47
tr/day 1.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 83/71/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $30
tr/day 0.8
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all 100/70/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 3d
bet $126
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
bet $107
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
bet $106
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
13013
0x5683…b8bf
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $564
tr/day 0.7
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/46/55
draw 9%
Kalshi 97%
active 8d
+$378 ·2🔓
ROI -8%
Net -17%
bet $199
tr/day 1.0
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/75/84
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $30
tr/day 0.5
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/64/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 15d
bet $241
tr/day 0.8
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 8d
bet $147
tr/day 0.2
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/69
draw 38%
Kalshi 81%
active 15d
bet $117
tr/day 0.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 15d
bet $109
tr/day 0.2
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 15d
bet $117
tr/day 0.2
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/—/66
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 15d
−$433 ·1🔓
ROI -0%
Net -10%
bet $16
tr/day 1.1
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/42/42
draw 28%
Kalshi 67%
active 6d
bet $117
tr/day 0.5
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 14d
bet $113
tr/day 0.1
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/0/14
draw 79%
Kalshi 21%
active 15d
bet $323
tr/day 1.0
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 52/56/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $132
tr/day 0.1
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
bet $32
tr/day 2.4
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/72/69
draw 41%
Kalshi 25%
active 0d
+$215 ·8🔓
ROI +10%
Net -0%
bet $9
tr/day 0.2
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/—/85
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 15d
bet $262
tr/day 0.9
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 54%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $1,413
tr/day 2.8
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/64/77
draw 29%
Kalshi 59%
active 0d
+$12K ·1🔓
ROI +4%
Net -10%
bet $167
tr/day 2.7
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 62/62/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 0d
13031
0xd277…73fe
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $275
tr/day 12.7
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 53/63/57
draw 74%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
+$13K ·38🔓
ROI +8%
Net -10%
bet $132
tr/day 7.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 47/47/50
draw 70%
Kalshi 51%
active 0d
bet $5,177
tr/day 3.9
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 50/58/58
draw 83%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
13034
0xa62f…d43f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,236
tr/day 0.4
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 2%
Kalshi 100%
active 5d
bet $120
tr/day 2.7
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/18/38
draw 65%
Kalshi 74%
active 4d
+$3K ·1🔓
ROI -10%
Net -18%
bet $27
tr/day 3.2
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/62/61
draw 34%
Kalshi 76%
active 5d
13037
0x51a3…9c26
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $648
tr/day 0.8
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 0d
−$521 ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -18%
bet $230
tr/day 0.8
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/94/92
draw 9%
Kalshi 100%
active 5d
bet $179
tr/day 0.8
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/94/93
draw 10%
Kalshi 100%
active 5d
bet $159
tr/day 0.8
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/93
draw 9%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $375
tr/day 0.6
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 7%
Kalshi 77%
active 8d
bet $167
tr/day 0.2
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 24%
active 5d
bet $168
tr/day 0.2
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 31%
active 5d
bet $157
tr/day 0.7
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/0/24
draw 55%
Kalshi 76%
active 3d
bet $162
tr/day 0.5
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/—/51
draw 82%
Kalshi 83%
active 15d
bet $530
tr/day 2.7
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/29/47
draw 16%
Kalshi 80%
active 15d
13047
0x20d9…deaf
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,564
tr/day 0.2
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/29
draw 3%
Kalshi 86%
active 15d
13048
0xc21b…1fbd
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $847
tr/day 0.4
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/—/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
13049
0x7f28…013d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $850
tr/day 0.3
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/—/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
13050
0x6504…1ae2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $850
tr/day 0.3
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/—/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
#13001
negative
crypto
#13002
negative
sports
#13003
negative
sports
#13004
negative
sports
#13005
negative
other
#13006
negative
sports
#13007
negative
crypto
#13008
negative
sports
#13009
negative
sports
#13010
negative
crypto
#13011
negative
crypto
#13012
negative
crypto
#13013
negative
crypto
#13014
negative
crypto
#13015
negative
sports
#13016
negative
politics
#13017
negative
sports
#13018
negative
sports
#13019
negative
sports
#13020
negative
sports
#13021
negative
crypto
#13022
negative
other
#13023
negative
other
#13024
negative
sports
#13025
sports
#13026
negative
other
#13027
negative
sports
#13028
world
#13029
negative
sports
#13030
negative
sports
#13031
negative
sports
#13032
negative
other
#13033
negative
sports
#13034
negative
crypto
#13035
negative
sports
#13036
negative
crypto
#13037
negative
sports
#13038
negative
crypto
#13039
negative
crypto
#13040
negative
crypto
#13041
negative
crypto
#13042
negative
other
#13043
negative
other
#13044
negative
world
#13045
negative
sports
#13046
negative
politics
#13047
negative
sports
#13048
negative
crypto
#13049
negative
crypto
#13050
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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