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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $372
tr/day 0.3
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 65%
Kalshi 71%
active 2d
bet $69
tr/day 2.1
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 23%
Kalshi 86%
active 1d
16053
0xfc5f…6219
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $151
tr/day 16.9
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/71/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 27d
16054
0x3360…20ba
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $748
tr/day 0.5
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/75/73
draw 18%
Kalshi 83%
active 24d
bet $284
tr/day 5.9
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all 100/95/96
draw 56%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $593
tr/day 3.3
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 75/59/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
+$166 ·3🔓
ROI +22%
Net +2%
bet $52
tr/day 1.4
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 98%
Kalshi 72%
active 36d
bet $90
tr/day 2.2
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 58/57/42
draw 41%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
+$1K ·1🔓
ROI -18%
Net -26%
bet $533
tr/day 8.0
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 36d
bet $164
tr/day 2.4
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 71/69/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
−$2K ·17🔓
ROI -8%
Net -17%
16061
0x5562…3b41
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $267
tr/day 10.7
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 47%
Kalshi 84%
active 3d
—
+$10K ·121🔓
ROI +104%
Net +71%
bet $261
tr/day 1.9
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/0/30
draw 83%
Kalshi 78%
active 5d
bet $390
tr/day 5.6
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 73/58/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
−$201 ·2🔓
ROI -3%
Net -16%
bet $101
tr/day 3.8
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 36/41/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $258
tr/day 0.8
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/11/27
draw 46%
Kalshi 99%
active 9d
bet $30
tr/day 0.3
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/49/29
draw 28%
Kalshi 56%
active 17d
bet $176
tr/day 0.1
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 22d
bet $223
tr/day 0.2
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 36d
bet $175
tr/day 3.0
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/44/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 13d
16070
0x18c7…b402
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,057
tr/day 1.4
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 3%
Kalshi 100%
active 36d
bet $3
tr/day 3.5
WR 34%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
—
+$26 ·6🔓
ROI +41%
Net +23%
bet $14
tr/day 3.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/60/50
draw 28%
Kalshi 91%
active 20d
bet $28
tr/day 1.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 92%
Kalshi 10%
active 35d
bet $21
tr/day 4.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 44%
active 35d
bet $115
tr/day 1.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 35d
bet $173
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 35d
16077
0x8cc3…9aa0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $515
tr/day 0.9
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 36d
bet $1,285
tr/day 2.4
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 35d
bet $109
tr/day 2.0
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 89%
Kalshi 43%
active 34d
bet $101
tr/day 0.2
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 4d
bet $64
tr/day 0.9
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 43/56/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
+$289 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -11%
bet $17
tr/day 0.6
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 63%
Kalshi 12%
active 32d
bet $347
tr/day 5.4
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 37/39/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
−$3K ·2🔓
ROI +26%
Net +10%
bet $893
tr/day 2.7
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 75%
Kalshi 44%
active 7d
bet $176
tr/day 0.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/57/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 1d
bet $152
tr/day 0.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $23
tr/day 0.8
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/30
draw 37%
Kalshi 84%
active 37d
16088
0xf17a…8abe
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $2,870
tr/day 0.6
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/83/66
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 8d
16089
0xdaf1…6f04
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,614
tr/day 0.1
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 28%
Kalshi 94%
active 12d
bet $70
tr/day 0.6
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 22d
bet $16
tr/day 1.5
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 88/59/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 2.8
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 63%
active 36d
bet $121
tr/day 0.9
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 57/48/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
−$2K ·1🔓
ROI -16%
Net -24%
bet $43
tr/day 0.2
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/90
draw 1%
Kalshi 93%
active 1d
bet $44
tr/day 0.2
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/89
draw 2%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
16096
0xe42c…2b5f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,658
tr/day 0.1
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 4d
bet $303
tr/day 0.6
WR 7%
WR 7/30/all —/—/7
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 2d
bet $183
tr/day 2.7
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 1d
—
−$149 ·2🔓
ROI +57%
Net +42%
bet $275
tr/day 0.6
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/0/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 2d
16100
0x2c88…e03a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,591
tr/day 0.1
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 3d
#16051
negative
crypto
#16052
negative
crypto
#16053
negative
sports
#16054
negative
crypto
#16055
negative
crypto
#16056
borderline
sports
#16057
trap
sports
#16058
negative
sports
#16059
other
#16060
negative
world
#16061
—
borderline
weather
#16062
negative
sports
#16063
negative
sports
#16064
negative
sports
#16065
negative
sports
#16066
negative
sports
#16067
negative
other
#16068
other
#16069
negative
sports
#16070
world
#16071
—
borderline
weather
#16072
negative
sports
#16073
other
#16074
other
#16075
sports
#16076
negative
sports
#16077
negative
world
#16078
negative
sports
#16079
negative
other
#16080
negative
other
#16081
negative
sports
#16082
other
#16083
edge dead
sports
#16084
—
borderline
other
#16085
negative
sports
#16086
negative
crypto
#16087
trap
sports
#16088
negative
sports
#16089
negative
crypto
#16090
trap
sports
#16091
negative
sports
#16092
negative
other
#16093
negative
sports
#16094
negative
crypto
#16095
negative
crypto
#16096
other
#16097
negative
world
#16098
—
borderline
tech
#16099
negative
world
#16100
politics
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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